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Hapoel Hadera vs H. Ironi Rishon Prediction & H2H Stats

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026 Netanya Stadium, Netanya
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Levy L.
84' Event
Khoury B.
90' Event
Jankauskas E.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League 2025/2026 game between Hapoel Hadera and H. Ironi Rishon finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward H. Ironi Rishon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Hapoel Hadera
35%
Draws
32%
H. Ironi Rishon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • H. Ironi Rishon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Hapoel Hadera Clean Sheet 18%
H. Ironi Rishon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Hadera H. Ironi Rishon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Hadera vs H. Ironi Rishon
1:2
Nov 10, 2025 Leumit League
H. Ironi Rishon vs Hapoel Hadera
1:1
May 7, 2018 Leumit League
H. Ironi Rishon vs Hapoel Hadera
1:0
Feb 23, 2018 Leumit League
Hapoel Hadera vs H. Ironi Rishon
1:1
Oct 27, 2017 Leumit League
H. Ironi Rishon vs Hapoel Hadera
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Hadera Compare

Top Goalscorer Khoury B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

H. Ironi Rishon Compare

Top Goalscorer Levy L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jankauskas E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Hadera 32 / 100
H. Ironi Rishon 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Hadera H. Ironi Rishon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick H. Ironi Rishon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: H. Ironi Rishon conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Hapoel Hadera scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Hapoel Hadera has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Hadera VS H. Ironi Rishon
1.29 Goals Scored 1.25
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.75
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Hadera

(Home)
30 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0 : 4
Hapoel Hadera
24 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
17 Sept
Kfar Saba 1928
0 : 1
Hapoel Hadera
09 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
2 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
04 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 0
Hapoel Hadera
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H. Ironi Rishon

(Away)
01 Oct
Hapoel Afula
2 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
24 Sept
H. Ironi Rishon
1 : 0
M. Nazareth
17 Sept
SC Ashdod
3 : 2
H. Ironi Rishon
10 Sept
H. Ironi Rishon
4 : 2
Kiryat Yam
07 Sept
Yehuda
0 : 0
H. Ironi Rishon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Petah Tikva 30 17 9 4 67:32 60
2 M. Herzliya 30 14 8 8 45:35 50
3 Hapoel Ramat Gan 30 14 7 9 48:36 49
4 H. Ironi Rishon 30 13 9 8 43:33 48
5 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 30 13 8 9 51:47 47
6 Yehuda 30 12 8 10 34:37 44
7 Kiryat Yam 30 13 7 10 43:37 42
8 Hapoel Kfar Saba 30 11 8 11 38:39 41
9 H. Raanana 30 10 8 12 29:36 38
10 Maccabi Jaffa 30 10 7 13 50:50 37
11 Hapoel Afula 30 9 9 12 32:48 36
12 MS Kafr Qasim 30 8 10 12 34:39 34
13 Nof Hagalil 30 6 14 10 37:45 32
14 Ironi Modiin 30 8 8 14 30:41 32
15 Hapoel Akko 30 6 13 11 32:42 31
16 Hapoel Hadera 30 4 11 15 32:48 23
Promotion - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)