Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Afula

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026 Netanya Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Ben Shushan Y.
47' Event
Khoury B.
90' Event
Elimelech E.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Leumit League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Hapoel Hadera
28%
Draws
50%
Hapoel Afula
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Hapoel Afula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hapoel Afula lately — more wins on the board than Hapoel Hadera.
  • Model gives Hapoel Afula a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Leumit League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Hapoel Hadera Clean Sheet 16%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Hadera Hapoel Afula
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Afula
1:1
Feb 6, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Hadera
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Afula
1:1
May 11, 2018 Leumit League
Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Afula
1:0
Jan 9, 2018 Leumit League
Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Afula
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Hadera Compare

Top Goalscorer Khoury B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hapoel Afula Compare

Top Goalscorer Elimelech E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Hadera 23 / 100
Hapoel Afula 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Hadera Hapoel Afula

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hapoel Hadera scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Hapoel Afula has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Hapoel Hadera remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Hadera VS Hapoel Afula
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%