Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Niv-Hansen I.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Gerafi N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Alef South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Hapoel Hadera
35%
Draws
28%
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hapoel Hadera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Hapoel Hadera have won more games recently than Maccabi Ironi Ashdod.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Hapoel Hadera taking it.
  • Regular Liga Alef South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Hapoel Hadera Clean Sheet 18%
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Hadera Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 6 5
Draws 8 9
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Hadera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Compare

Top Goalscorer Gerafi N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Hadera 49 / 100
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Hadera Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Hadera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Maccabi Ironi Ashdod conceded in 85% of 20 recent games.

Hapoel Hadera's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Hapoel Hadera remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Hadera VS Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Hadera

(Home)
30 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0 : 4
Hapoel Hadera
24 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
17 Sept
Kfar Saba 1928
0 : 1
Hapoel Hadera
09 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
2 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
04 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 0
Hapoel Hadera
Page 1 of 6

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

(Away)
30 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 0
Holon Yermiyahu
24 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
18 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 2
Ironi Beit Shemesh
09 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
03 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
1 : 2
H. Herzliya
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Dimona 5 4 0 1 8:7 12
2 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 5 3 2 0 11:3 11
3 Jerusalem FC 5 3 2 0 9:4 11
4 H. Herzliya 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Ramat Hasharon 5 3 2 0 5:2 11
6 Shimshon Tel Aviv 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
7 Maccabi Yavne 5 2 2 1 9:3 8
8 Hapoel Hadera 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
9 Hapoel Sderot FC 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
10 Hapoel Azor 5 2 1 2 4:6 7
11 Holon Yermiyahu 5 2 1 2 3:5 7
12 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
13 Kfar Saba 1928 5 1 1 3 7:7 4
14 Hapoel Marmorek 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
15 Ironi Beit Shemesh 5 1 1 3 5:13 4
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
17 Tzeirei Tira 5 0 0 5 1:10 0
18 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 5 0 0 5 2:13 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)