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Hapoel Hadera vs Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Hadera host Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi in the Liga Alef South. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Hapoel Hadera at 1.03 goals for, 1.61 against; Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi at 1.33 for, 1.14 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.69) point toward Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Hapoel Hadera
35%
Draws
38%
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi have won more games recently than Hapoel Hadera.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Alef South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hapoel Hadera Clean Sheet 13%
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Hadera Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
Matches Played 31 21
Wins 6 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.03 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Hadera 31 / 100
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Hadera Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Hadera has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hapoel Hadera scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 21 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Hadera VS Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Hadera

(Home)
09 Oct
Hapoel Hadera
0 : 0
Maccabi Yavne
30 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0 : 4
Hapoel Hadera
24 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
17 Sept
Kfar Saba 1928
0 : 1
Hapoel Hadera
09 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
2 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
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Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi

(Away)
09 Oct
Jerusalem FC
0 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
30 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
0 : 0
H. Herzliya
23 Sept
FC Dimona
1 : 5
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
18 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
3 : 0
Hapoel Azor
09 Sept
Hapoel Sderot FC
1 : 2
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Dimona 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Shimshon Tel Aviv 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
4 H. Herzliya 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
5 Ramat Hasharon 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
6 Jerusalem FC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
7 Holon Yermiyahu 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
8 Maccabi Yavne 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
9 Hapoel Hadera 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
10 Hapoel Azor 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 6 1 4 1 8:7 7
12 Hapoel Sderot FC 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Ironi Beit Shemesh 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
14 Hapoel Marmorek 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Kfar Saba 1928 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
17 Tzeirei Tira 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
18 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 6 0 0 6 2:18 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)