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Stadium Background

Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv Prediction & H2H Stats

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Kupferberg A.
Own Goal
41' Event
Reichert B.
45' Event
Reichert B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South game between Hapoel Hadera and Shimshon Tel Aviv finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hapoel Hadera
30%
Draws
39%
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shimshon Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shimshon Tel Aviv come out ahead of Hapoel Hadera on wins alone.
  • Hapoel Hadera are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga Alef South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Hapoel Hadera Clean Sheet 16%
Shimshon Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Hadera Shimshon Tel Aviv
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Hadera Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Shushan Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Shimshon Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Reichert B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Hadera 41 / 100
Shimshon Tel Aviv 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Hadera Shimshon Tel Aviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Hapoel Hadera scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Shimshon Tel Aviv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 21 matches.

Solid form: Hapoel Hadera remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Hadera VS Shimshon Tel Aviv
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Hadera

(Home)
30 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0 : 4
Hapoel Hadera
24 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
17 Sept
Kfar Saba 1928
0 : 1
Hapoel Hadera
09 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
2 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
04 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 0
Hapoel Hadera
Page 1 of 6

Shimshon Tel Aviv

(Away)
30 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
1 : 2
Ramat Hasharon
23 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
17 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
3 : 1
Holon Yermiyahu
09 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
2 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
03 Sept
Shimshon Tel Aviv
2 : 0
Ironi Beit Shemesh
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Dimona 5 4 0 1 8:7 12
2 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 5 3 2 0 11:3 11
3 Jerusalem FC 5 3 2 0 9:4 11
4 H. Herzliya 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Ramat Hasharon 5 3 2 0 5:2 11
6 Shimshon Tel Aviv 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
7 Maccabi Yavne 5 2 2 1 9:3 8
8 Hapoel Hadera 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
9 Hapoel Sderot FC 5 2 1 2 6:4 7
10 Hapoel Azor 5 2 1 2 4:6 7
11 Holon Yermiyahu 5 2 1 2 3:5 7
12 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
13 Kfar Saba 1928 5 1 1 3 7:7 4
14 Hapoel Marmorek 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
15 Ironi Beit Shemesh 5 1 1 3 5:13 4
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
17 Tzeirei Tira 5 0 0 5 1:10 0
18 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 5 0 0 5 2:13 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)