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Hapoel Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Toto Cup Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Turgeman A.
18'
Chen N.
30' Event
Ghanem Q.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hapoel Haifa
30%
Draws
23%
Ironi Tiberias
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hapoel Haifa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ironi Tiberias haven't matched Hapoel Haifa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hapoel Haifa's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Hapoel Haifa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hapoel Haifa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Hapoel Haifa Clean Sheet 68%
Ironi Tiberias Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Haifa Ironi Tiberias
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.36 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Toto Cup
Hapoel Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias
3:1
Apr 29, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Haifa vs Ironi Tiberias
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Haifa
1:0
Aug 6, 2025 Toto Cup
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Haifa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Haifa Compare

Top Goalscorer Turgeman A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Habiballah W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ironi Tiberias Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghanem Q.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Haifa 86 / 100
Ironi Tiberias 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Haifa Ironi Tiberias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Haifa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Haifa scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Ironi Tiberias's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Hapoel Haifa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Haifa VS Ironi Tiberias
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Haifa

(Home)
10 Oct
Hapoel Haifa
2 : 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
19 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
14 Sept
Hapoel Haifa
3 : 1
Sakhnin
07 Sept
Netanya
1 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
02 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
2 : 2
Hapoel Haifa
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Ironi Tiberias

(Away)
10 Oct
Ironi Tiberias
0 : 2
H. Beer Sheva
19 Sept
Maccabi Haifa
3 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
29 Aug
Shmona
2 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shmona 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Hapoel Haifa 4 3 0 1 9:7 9
3 Maccabi Haifa 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
4 Ironi Tiberias 4 1 0 3 5:9 3
5 Sakhnin 4 0 0 4 2:6 0
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netanya 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
2 Hapoel Ramat Gan 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
3 Hapoel Jerusalem 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
4 Maccabi Petah Tikva 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Hapoel Petah Tikva 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)