Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Ironi Arraba host Hapoel Umm al-Fahm in the Liga Alef North. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Hapoel Ironi Arraba at 1.19 goals for, 2.19 against; Hapoel Umm al-Fahm at 1.32 for, 1.58 against. Head-to-head, Hapoel Ironi Arraba have won 0 to Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Hapoel Umm al-Fahm to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
30%
Draws
41%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have won more games recently than Hapoel Ironi Arraba.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Hapoel Ironi Arraba taking it.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Hapoel Ironi Arraba Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Ironi Arraba Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Matches Played 21 19
Wins 4 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.19 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0:0
Dec 5, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Ironi Arraba 36 / 100
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Ironi Arraba Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hapoel Ironi Arraba scored in 67% of their last 21 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Hapoel Ironi Arraba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm conceded in 58% of 19 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Ironi Arraba VS Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Ironi Arraba

(Home)
23 Oct
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
1 : 5
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
19 Oct
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 2
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
09 Oct
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
0 : 0
H. Ihud Bnei Jatt
30 Sept
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
1 : 1
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
24 Sept
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
4 : 1
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Page 1 of 5

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

(Away)
28 Oct
H. Raanana
4 : 0
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
23 Oct
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
1 : 3
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
18 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 1
MS Tira
13 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3 : 2
FC Shefa-Amr
09 Oct
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 1
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 9 5 3 1 19:12 18
3 Ironi Nesher 7 5 1 1 20:6 16
4 Beitar Nahariya 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
5 Hapoel Karmiel 8 3 5 0 13:7 14
6 Nof Hagalil 7 4 2 1 15:10 14
7 Beit Shean 8 3 3 2 11:6 12
8 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
9 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 9 3 1 5 16:17 10
10 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 7 2 3 2 9:10 9
11 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
12 Ironi Baka 8 2 2 4 12:13 8
13 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
14 FC Tzeirey Tamra 7 2 0 5 8:18 6
15 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 8 2 0 6 6:16 6
16 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 8 1 2 5 7:16 5
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 8 1 2 5 5:20 5
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)