Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Jerusalem host Hapoel Tel Aviv in the Ligat ha'Al. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Hapoel Jerusalem have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Hapoel Tel Aviv's 1.45 scored and 0.94 conceded. Head-to-head, Hapoel Jerusalem have won 1 to Hapoel Tel Aviv's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 13, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.56) point toward Hapoel Tel Aviv. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Hapoel Jerusalem
20%
Draws
47%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hapoel Tel Aviv a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligat ha'Al form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Hapoel Jerusalem Clean Sheet 15%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Tel Aviv
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Jerusalem
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
0:0
Jul 29, 2025 Toto Cup
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Jerusalem
3:0
Apr 1, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
2:0
Mar 9, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Jerusalem
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Jerusalem 19 / 100
Hapoel Tel Aviv 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Tel Aviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Tel Aviv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Jerusalem's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Hapoel Jerusalem has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hapoel Tel Aviv has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Jerusalem VS Hapoel Tel Aviv
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Jerusalem

(Home)
19 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 4
Hapoel Jerusalem
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0
Hapoel Jerusalem
23 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
2 : 5
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Tel Aviv

(Away)
18 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
14 Sept
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
07 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4 : 0
Hapoel Ramat Gan
03 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Beitar Jerusalem
30 Aug
Hapoel Haifa
0 : 0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 5 5 0 0 18:6 15
2 Maccabi Haifa 5 4 0 1 12:7 12
3 Hapoel Tel Aviv 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
4 H. Beer Sheva 5 3 1 1 8:7 10
5 Beitar Jerusalem 5 3 0 2 7:9 9
6 Hapoel Jerusalem 5 2 1 2 12:12 7
7 Hapoel Haifa 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
8 Maccabi Petah Tikva 5 2 0 3 8:11 6
9 Netanya 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
10 Sakhnin 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
11 Hapoel Ramat Gan 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
12 Shmona 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
13 Hapoel Petah Tikva 5 1 0 4 2:8 3
14 Ironi Tiberias 5 2 1 2 7:8 1
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)