Sport Picks

Israel

State Cup Teddy Stadium

Hapoel Jerusalem

2 - 0

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Our Tip

Match Events

47'

Otomewo J.

80'

Oli I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Jerusalem in this State Cup matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hapoel Jerusalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Hapoel Jerusalem

44%

Draws

20%

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Hapoel Jerusalem have won more games recently than Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%

Hapoel Jerusalem Clean Sheet 20%

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hapoel Jerusalem	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Matches Played	28	20
Wins	8	7
Draws	8	5
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	0.5	0
Goals Conceded	0.75	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 26, 2025 State Cup

Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Feb 16, 2021 Leumit League

Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 2 - 4

0:0

Nov 9, 2020 Leumit League

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Jerusalem

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Feb 19, 2020 Leumit League

Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Oct 24, 2019 Leumit League

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Jerusalem

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Otomewo J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Oli I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Jerusalem 36 / 100

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Jerusalem scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm conceded in 75% of 20 recent games.

Hapoel Jerusalem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Jerusalem VS Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

0.5 Goals Scored 0

0.75 Goals Conceded 0

25% Over 1.5 0%

13% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva-

TBD-

Hapoel Tirat Karmel0

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad1

Nes Tziona1

Hapoel Karmiel2

Maccabi Bnei Raina-

TBD-

Hapoel Kfar Shalem-

H. Beer Sheva-

TBD-

Hapoel Hadera-

TBD-

Hapoel Sderot FC2

Hapoel Ironi Arraba1

Hapoel Jerusalem-

TBD-

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm7

FC Beer Sheva0

TBD-

Kiryat Yam-

Beitar Haifa0

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod5

TBD-

Hapoel Ramat Gan-

TBD-

Shmona-

Ironi Tiberias-

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Yehuda-

TBD-

Hapoel Afula-

TBD-

Tzeirey Um El Fahem0

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik3

M. Herzliya-

TBD-

Hapoel Akko-

Kfar Saba 19282

Maccabi Yavne0

TBD-

H. Ironi Rishon-

Maccabi HaSharon Netanya1

Bnei Jaffa4

Jerusalem FC6

Ihud Bnei Majd al-Krum0

TBD-

Netanya-

Sakhnin-

TBD-

Maccabi Jaffa-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

TBD-

SC Ashdod-

Maccabi Tel Aviv-

TBD-

Hapoel Haifa-

Jadeidi-Makr5

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek1

TBD-

H. Raanana-

Kiryat Haim1

Hapoel Yarka2

Kfar Kama0

Kiryat Gat1

Ironi Modiin-

TBD-

M. Nazareth2

Beitar Ramat Gan1

TBD-

Maccabi Haifa-

Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil0

Shimshon Tel Aviv2

TBD-

MS Kafr Qasim-

Shikun Hamizrah0

Holon Yermiyahu5

TBD-

Nof Hagalil-

Ironi Or Yehuda1

FC Dimona3

TBD-

Maccabi Petah Tikva-

TBD-

Hapoel Kfar Saba-

1/32-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva-

TBD-

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad1

Hapoel Karmiel4

Maccabi Bnei Raina-

TBD-

Hapoel Kfar Shalem-

H. Beer Sheva-

TBD-

Hapoel Hadera3

Hapoel Sderot FC4

Hapoel Jerusalem-

TBD-

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm2

Kiryat Yam1

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod2

Hapoel Ramat Gan3

TBD-

Shmona-

Ironi Tiberias-

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Yehuda-

TBD-

Hapoel Afula2

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik3

M. Herzliya2

Hapoel Akko0

Kfar Saba 19281

H. Ironi Rishon0

Bnei Jaffa1

Jerusalem FC0

TBD-

Netanya-

Sakhnin-

TBD-

Maccabi Jaffa-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

TBD-

SC Ashdod-

Maccabi Tel Aviv-

TBD-

Hapoel Haifa-

Jadeidi-Makr0

H. Raanana1

Hapoel Yarka0

Kiryat Gat4

Ironi Modiin1

M. Nazareth3

TBD-

Maccabi Haifa-

Shimshon Tel Aviv0

MS Kafr Qasim2

Holon Yermiyahu1

Nof Hagalil0

FC Dimona1

Maccabi Petah Tikva0

TBD-

Hapoel Kfar Saba-

1/16-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva2

Hapoel Karmiel1

Maccabi Bnei Raina1

Hapoel Kfar Shalem0

H. Beer Sheva2

Hapoel Sderot FC1

Hapoel Jerusalem2

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm0

Hapoel Ramat Gan2

Shmona3

Ironi Tiberias1

Beitar Jerusalem2

Yehuda2

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik1

M. Herzliya4

Kfar Saba 19281

Bnei Jaffa0

Netanya6

Sakhnin0

Maccabi Jaffa2

Hapoel Tel Aviv3

SC Ashdod0

Maccabi Tel Aviv5

Hapoel Haifa0

H. Raanana4

Kiryat Gat3

M. Nazareth1

Maccabi Haifa8

MS Kafr Qasim3

Holon Yermiyahu1

FC Dimona1

Hapoel Kfar Saba3

1/8-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva1

Maccabi Bnei Raina2

H. Beer Sheva2

Hapoel Jerusalem1

Shmona0

Beitar Jerusalem2

Yehuda1

M. Herzliya0

Netanya0

Maccabi Jaffa2

Hapoel Tel Aviv1

Maccabi Tel Aviv2

H. Raanana0

Maccabi Haifa1

MS Kafr Qasim1

Hapoel Kfar Saba0

Quarter-finals

Maccabi Bnei Raina0

H. Beer Sheva3

Beitar Jerusalem1

Yehuda2

Maccabi Jaffa0

Maccabi Tel Aviv5

Maccabi Haifa2

MS Kafr Qasim0

Semi-finals

H. Beer Sheva3

Yehuda2

Maccabi Tel Aviv3

Maccabi Haifa2

Final

H. Beer Sheva1

Maccabi Tel Aviv2