Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva

Israel Israel

Toto Cup Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Toto Cup. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Hapoel Jerusalem at 0.63 goals for, 0.88 against; Maccabi Petah Tikva at 1 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Hapoel Jerusalem slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.81 - 0.94) back Maccabi Petah Tikva to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hapoel Jerusalem
30%
Draws
34%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hapoel Jerusalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maccabi Petah Tikva come out ahead of Hapoel Jerusalem on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Hapoel Jerusalem taking it.
  • Maccabi Petah Tikva arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hapoel Jerusalem, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Hapoel Jerusalem Clean Sheet 20%
Maccabi Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Jerusalem Maccabi Petah Tikva
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
0:0
Jan 11, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Jerusalem
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
4:1
Apr 14, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
2:0
Jan 3, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Jerusalem 36 / 100
Maccabi Petah Tikva 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Jerusalem Maccabi Petah Tikva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Petah Tikva has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Attacking prowess: Hapoel Jerusalem scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Hapoel Jerusalem went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Jerusalem VS Maccabi Petah Tikva
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Jerusalem

(Home)
25 Jul
Netanya
3 : 1
Hapoel Jerusalem
19 Jul
Leczna
0 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
17 Jul
Motor Lublin
2 : 0
Hapoel Jerusalem
10 Jul
Yehuda
2 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
18 May
Hapoel Jerusalem
0 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
Page 1 of 6

Maccabi Petah Tikva

(Away)
25 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0
Maccabi Petah Tikva
25 May
Kiryat Yam
0 : 0
Maccabi Petah Tikva
20 May
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 2
Yehuda
15 May
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
11 May
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 0
H. Ironi Rishon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sakhnin00000:00
2Maccabi Haifa00000:00
3Shmona00000:00
4Hapoel Haifa00000:00
5Ironi Tiberias00000:00
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Petah Tikva00000:00
2Netanya00000:00
3Hapoel Petah Tikva00000:00
4Hapoel Ramat Gan00000:00
5Hapoel Jerusalem00000:00
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)