Sport Picks
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva Prediction & H2H Stats
Israel
Toto Cup Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem 
Match Events
14'
14'
Wattad Y.
44'
44'
Oz Y.
46'
46'
Sub
Spence K. C. In: Soumah I.
Out: Spence K. C.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hapoel Jerusalem
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Hapoel Jerusalem come out ahead of Maccabi Petah Tikva on wins alone.
- 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Hapoel Jerusalem have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Hapoel Jerusalem, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Hapoel Jerusalem Clean Sheet 68%
Maccabi Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hapoel Jerusalem | Maccabi Petah Tikva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Jerusalem
2:4
Aug 2, 2026 Toto Cup
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
0:0
Jan 11, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Jerusalem
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hapoel Jerusalem Compare
Top Goalscorer Damascan V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Maccabi Petah Tikva Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hapoel Jerusalem 41 / 100
Maccabi Petah Tikva 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hapoel Jerusalem Maccabi Petah Tikva
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hapoel Jerusalem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Hapoel Jerusalem scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Maccabi Petah Tikva has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Hapoel Jerusalem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hapoel Jerusalem VS Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Hapoel Jerusalem
(Home) 19 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 4 Hapoel Jerusalem
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2 Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2 Shmona
29 Aug
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0 Hapoel Jerusalem
23 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
2 : 5 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2 Shmona
23 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
2 : 5 Maccabi Tel Aviv
09 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
3 : 1 Hapoel Petah Tikva
02 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
1 : 0 Maccabi Petah Tikva
18 May
Hapoel Jerusalem
0 : 2 Ironi Tiberias
Page 1 of 3
Maccabi Petah Tikva
(Away) 19 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 4 Hapoel Jerusalem
15 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
3 : 1 Maccabi Petah Tikva
05 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1 : 2 Ironi Tiberias
29 Aug
Sakhnin
1 : 2 Maccabi Petah Tikva
22 Aug
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 1 Shmona
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
3 : 1 Maccabi Petah Tikva
29 Aug
Sakhnin
1 : 2 Maccabi Petah Tikva
15 Aug
Ironi Tiberias
0 : 3 Maccabi Petah Tikva
02 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
1 : 0 Maccabi Petah Tikva
25 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0 Maccabi Petah Tikva
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shmona | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Hapoel Haifa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Maccabi Haifa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Ironi Tiberias | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:9 | 3 |
| 5 | Sakhnin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:6 | 0 |
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netanya | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 3 | Hapoel Jerusalem | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 5 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
