Sport Picks

Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Teddy Stadium

Sakhnin

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Jerusalem play Sakhnin in the Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hapoel Jerusalem averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Sakhnin averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Hapoel Jerusalem won 3, Sakhnin won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Hapoel Jerusalem and 0.63 for Sakhnin. This points to a Hapoel Jerusalem double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Hapoel Jerusalem

35%

Draws

28%

Sakhnin

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hapoel Jerusalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Hapoel Jerusalem picked up more points recently compared to Sakhnin.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 0.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 34%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Hapoel Jerusalem Clean Sheet 29%

Sakhnin Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hapoel Jerusalem	Sakhnin
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	8	7
Draws	10	10
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	0.83	0.8
Goals Conceded	1.07	1.43
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ligat ha'Al

Hapoel Jerusalem vs Sakhnin

Possession: 53% - 40% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Jan 31, 2026 Ligat ha'Al

Sakhnin vs Hapoel Jerusalem

Possession: 40% - 57% Cards: 1 - 0

0:0

Oct 25, 2025 Ligat ha'Al

Hapoel Jerusalem vs Sakhnin

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Mar 15, 2025 Ligat ha'Al

Hapoel Jerusalem vs Sakhnin

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

4:1

Mar 8, 2025 Ligat ha'Al

Sakhnin vs Hapoel Jerusalem

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Hozez M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.29

Avg xA / game 0.19

Sakhnin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Jerusalem 39 / 100

Sakhnin 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hapoel Jerusalem Sakhnin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hapoel Jerusalem or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +21.4%

3.57

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hapoel Jerusalem attacking → ← attacking Sakhnin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Jerusalem scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Sakhnin let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Hapoel Jerusalem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sakhnin lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 31

0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.38

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
7	Netanya	33	14	6	13	59:63	48
8	Shmona	33	11	7	15	50:53	40
9	Ironi Tiberias	33	12	8	13	45:56	36
10	Hapoel Haifa	33	8	10	15	39:51	34
11	Sakhnin	33	8	10	15	28:49	34
12	Hapoel Jerusalem	33	7	10	16	26:43	31
13	SC Ashdod	33	6	10	17	38:62	28
14	Maccabi Bnei Raina	33	6	4	23	26:69	22