Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Jerusalem vs Sakhnin Prediction & H2H Stats

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sub
Abu Nil M. In: Suleiman M.
Out: Abu Nil M.
29' Event
Hozez M.
46'
Sub
Cudjoe M. In: Sheikh Yosef M.
Out: Cudjoe M.

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Jerusalem in this Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hapoel Jerusalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hapoel Jerusalem
20%
Draws
29%
Sakhnin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Jerusalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Jerusalem have won more games recently than Sakhnin.
  • Win probability leans Hapoel Jerusalem's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Hapoel Jerusalem Clean Sheet 68%
Sakhnin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Jerusalem Sakhnin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.21 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Sakhnin
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Sakhnin vs Hapoel Jerusalem
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Sakhnin
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Sakhnin
4:1
Mar 8, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Sakhnin vs Hapoel Jerusalem
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Hozez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sakhnin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Jerusalem 59 / 100
Sakhnin 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Jerusalem Sakhnin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Jerusalem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Jerusalem's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sakhnin let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Hapoel Jerusalem stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Jerusalem VS Sakhnin
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Jerusalem

(Home)
19 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 4
Hapoel Jerusalem
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0
Hapoel Jerusalem
23 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
2 : 5
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

Sakhnin

(Away)
19 Sept
Sakhnin
1 : 0
Hapoel Ramat Gan
14 Sept
Hapoel Haifa
3 : 1
Sakhnin
07 Sept
Sakhnin
0 : 1
Beitar Jerusalem
29 Aug
Sakhnin
1 : 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
24 Aug
Netanya
0 : 0
Sakhnin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Netanya 33 14 6 13 59:63 48
8 Shmona 33 11 7 15 50:53 40
9 Ironi Tiberias 33 12 8 13 45:56 36
10 Hapoel Haifa 33 8 10 15 39:51 34
11 Sakhnin 33 8 10 15 28:49 34
12 Hapoel Jerusalem 33 7 10 16 26:43 31
13 SC Ashdod 33 6 10 17 38:62 28
14 Maccabi Bnei Raina 33 6 4 23 26:69 22
Relegation - Leumit League (Main)