Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Jerusalem vs Shmona

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Gabay N.
46'
Sub
Distelfeld Y. In: Abuhav O.
Out: Distelfeld Y.
46'
Sub
Zuberu S. In: Haimovich T.
Out: Zuberu S.

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Jerusalem in this Ligat ha'Al matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hapoel Jerusalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Hapoel Jerusalem
15%
Draws
26%
Shmona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hapoel Jerusalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Shmona have won more games recently than Hapoel Jerusalem.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligat ha'Al form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Hapoel Jerusalem Clean Sheet 68%
Shmona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Jerusalem Shmona
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Shmona
4:2
Apr 19, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Hapoel Jerusalem
3:1
Feb 21, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Shmona
0:1
Nov 29, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Shmona vs Hapoel Jerusalem
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Shmona
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Idoko A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tiehi C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Shmona Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabay N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sheratzky A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Jerusalem 41 / 100
Shmona 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Jerusalem Shmona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Jerusalem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Hapoel Jerusalem's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Shmona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Hapoel Jerusalem remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Jerusalem VS Shmona
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Jerusalem

(Home)
19 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 4
Hapoel Jerusalem
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0
Hapoel Jerusalem
23 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
2 : 5
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

Shmona

(Away)
19 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 0
Shmona
14 Sept
Shmona
0 : 4
Maccabi Haifa
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Shmona
2 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
22 Aug
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 1
Shmona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 5 5 0 0 18:6 15
2 Maccabi Haifa 5 4 0 1 12:7 12
3 Hapoel Tel Aviv 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
4 H. Beer Sheva 5 3 1 1 8:7 10
5 Beitar Jerusalem 5 3 0 2 7:9 9
6 Hapoel Jerusalem 5 2 1 2 12:12 7
7 Hapoel Haifa 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
8 Maccabi Petah Tikva 5 2 0 3 8:11 6
9 Netanya 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
10 Sakhnin 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
11 Hapoel Ramat Gan 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
12 Shmona 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
13 Hapoel Petah Tikva 5 1 0 4 2:8 3
14 Ironi Tiberias 5 2 1 2 7:8 1
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)