Sport Picks
Hapoel Karmiel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Israel
Liga Alef North 
Match Events
11'
11'
Yassin H.
45'
45'
Mizrahi A.
54'
54'
Azobel B.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Alef North game between Hapoel Karmiel and Hapoel Bnei Musmus finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hapoel Karmiel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hapoel Karmiel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Hapoel Karmiel's 1.3 goals per match outpaces what Hapoel Bnei Musmus have produced (1.16).
- Model gives Hapoel Karmiel a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Hapoel Bnei Musmus here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Hapoel Karmiel Clean Sheet 68%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hapoel Karmiel | Hapoel Bnei Musmus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 19 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.95 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.32 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 10, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Karmiel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
3:0
Jan 30, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Karmiel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
2:3
Oct 21, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Karmiel
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hapoel Karmiel Compare
Top Goalscorer Yassin H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mizrahi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Hapoel Bnei Musmus Compare
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hapoel Karmiel 95 / 100
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hapoel Karmiel Hapoel Bnei Musmus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hapoel Karmiel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hapoel Karmiel has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Hapoel Karmiel scored in 75% of their last 20 games.
Hapoel Bnei Musmus has conceded goals in 74% of their last 19 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Hapoel Karmiel VS Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 Goals Scored 0.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Hapoel Karmiel
(Home) 08 Oct
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 0 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
01 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 0 Hapoel Karmiel
23 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 1 Ironi Nesher
19 Sept
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
1 : 1 Hapoel Karmiel
10 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
3 : 0 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Page 1 of 4
08 Oct
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 0 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
23 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 1 Ironi Nesher
10 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
3 : 0 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
27 Feb
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 2 Hapoel Ironi Arraba
13 Feb
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 1 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Page 1 of 2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
(Away) 09 Oct
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
0 : 0 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
30 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 0 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
23 Sept
MS Tira
1 : 1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
18 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 2 Beitar Nahariya
10 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
3 : 0 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Page 1 of 4
09 Oct
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
0 : 0 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
23 Sept
MS Tira
1 : 1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
10 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
3 : 0 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
21 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
12 Feb
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
1 : 2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MS Tira | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Beitar Nahariya | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Hapoel Karmiel | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Ironi Nesher | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 10 |
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 10 |
| 6 | Nof Hagalil | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 8 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 9 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:15 | 6 |
| 10 | Ironi Baka | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 12 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 5 |
| 13 | H. Ihud Bnei Jatt | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Beit Shean | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 16 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 17 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:14 | 2 |
| 18 | Tzeirey Um El Fahem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)
