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Hapoel Karmiel vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Karmiel play Hapoel Ironi Arraba in the Liga Alef North. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hapoel Karmiel averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Hapoel Ironi Arraba averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, Hapoel Karmiel won 1, Hapoel Ironi Arraba won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 27, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.32 for Hapoel Karmiel and 0.25 for Hapoel Ironi Arraba. This points to a Hapoel Karmiel double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Hapoel Karmiel
19%
Draws
28%
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Hapoel Karmiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Hapoel Karmiel picked up more points recently compared to Hapoel Ironi Arraba.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.32 vs 0.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Hapoel Karmiel Clean Sheet 34%
Hapoel Ironi Arraba Clean Sheet 25%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Karmiel Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Matches Played 21 20
Wins 9 4
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Karmiel vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba
1:2
Oct 31, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Karmiel
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Karmiel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Hapoel Ironi Arraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Hassan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Div H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Karmiel 55 / 100
Hapoel Ironi Arraba 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Karmiel Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Karmiel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Hapoel Karmiel & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hapoel Karmiel attacking → ← attacking Hapoel Ironi Arraba

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Karmiel scored in 76% of their last 21 games.

Hapoel Ironi Arraba let in goals in 85% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Hapoel Karmiel went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Hapoel Ironi Arraba lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 17
0.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00