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Hapoel Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Azobel B.
82'
Edri O.

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Karmiel in this Liga Alef North matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hapoel Karmiel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Hapoel Karmiel
35%
Draws
20%
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hapoel Karmiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Tirat Karmel haven't matched Hapoel Karmiel's recent run of results.
  • Hapoel Karmiel are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hapoel Karmiel here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Hapoel Karmiel Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Tirat Karmel Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Karmiel Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Matches Played 22 20
Wins 9 2
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.36 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel
1:0
Feb 13, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Karmiel vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel
1:1
Oct 10, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Tirat Karmel vs Hapoel Karmiel
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Karmiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Azobel B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Hapoel Tirat Karmel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Karmiel 67 / 100
Hapoel Tirat Karmel 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Karmiel Hapoel Tirat Karmel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Karmiel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Tirat Karmel let in goals in 90% of their last 20 matches.

Solid form: Hapoel Karmiel remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Hapoel Karmiel found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (22 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Karmiel VS Hapoel Tirat Karmel
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Karmiel

(Home)
08 Oct
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
01 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 0
Hapoel Karmiel
23 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 1
Ironi Nesher
19 Sept
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
1 : 1
Hapoel Karmiel
10 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
3 : 0
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
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Hapoel Tirat Karmel

(Away)
08 Oct
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
01 Oct
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
23 Sept
Ironi Baka
3 : 1
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
18 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 4
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
09 Sept
Nof Hagalil
1 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
15 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
16 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 6 0 2 4 2:14 2
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)