Sport Picks
Hapoel Karmiel vs Ironi Baka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Israel
Liga Alef North 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Hapoel Karmiel host Ironi Baka in the Liga Alef North. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Hapoel Karmiel at 1.45 goals for, 1 against; Ironi Baka at 1.56 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Hapoel Karmiel slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.13, favoring Hapoel Karmiel. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Hapoel Karmiel have managed 1.45 goals a game lately — Ironi Baka are scoring more at 1.56.
- Hapoel Karmiel are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hapoel Karmiel | Ironi Baka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 18 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ironi Baka let in goals in 83% of their last 18 matches.
Hapoel Karmiel scored in 75% of their last 20 games.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Hapoel Karmiel remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hapoel Karmiel
(Home)Ironi Baka
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MS Tira | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Ironi Nesher | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Beitar Nahariya | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 | 18 |
| 5 | Nof Hagalil | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:10 | 17 |
| 6 | Hapoel Karmiel | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Beit Shean | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 8 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 11 | H. Ihud Bnei Jatt | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 12 | Ironi Baka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 13 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:17 | 7 |
| 14 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:16 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9:21 | 6 |
| 16 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:16 | 5 |
| 17 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:25 | 5 |
| 18 | Tzeirey Um El Fahem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | -1 |
