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Stadium Background

Hapoel Karmiel vs Ironi Nesher

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Karmiel play Ironi Nesher in the Liga Alef North. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hapoel Karmiel averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Ironi Nesher averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Hapoel Karmiel won 1, Ironi Nesher won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 17, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.26 for Hapoel Karmiel and 0.63 for Ironi Nesher. This points to a Hapoel Karmiel double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Hapoel Karmiel
19%
Draws
33%
Ironi Nesher
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Hapoel Karmiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Hapoel Karmiel picked up more points recently compared to Ironi Nesher.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.26 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Hapoel Karmiel Clean Sheet 29%
Ironi Nesher Clean Sheet 26%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Karmiel Ironi Nesher
Matches Played 20 20
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Liga Alef North
Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Karmiel
0:0
Jan 6, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Karmiel vs Ironi Nesher
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Karmiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Ganihovic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pokra M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Ironi Nesher Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Karmiel 49 / 100
Ironi Nesher 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Karmiel Ironi Nesher

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hapoel Karmiel or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hapoel Karmiel attacking → ← attacking Ironi Nesher

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Karmiel scored in 75% of their last 20 games.

Ironi Nesher let in goals in 75% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Hapoel Karmiel went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ironi Nesher lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 25
0.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00