Sport Picks
Hapoel Karmiel vs Ironi Nesher - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Israel
Liga Alef North 
Match Events
29'
29'
Hilf Q.
86'
86'
Sarhane A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga Alef North matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Ironi Nesher have won more games recently than Hapoel Karmiel.
- 34% — that's where the model lands on Ironi Nesher taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hapoel Karmiel Clean Sheet 20%
Ironi Nesher Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hapoel Karmiel | Ironi Nesher |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 20 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.95 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Karmiel vs Ironi Nesher
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 Liga Alef North
Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Karmiel
0:0
Jan 6, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Karmiel vs Ironi Nesher
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hapoel Karmiel Compare
Top Goalscorer Sarhane A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Ironi Nesher Compare
Top Goalscorer Hilf Q.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hapoel Karmiel 24 / 100
Ironi Nesher 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hapoel Karmiel Ironi Nesher
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ironi Nesher Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ironi Nesher's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 20 matches.
Solid form: Hapoel Karmiel remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Hapoel Karmiel scored in 75% of their last 20 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Hapoel Karmiel VS Ironi Nesher
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hapoel Karmiel
(Home) 08 Oct
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 0 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
01 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 0 Hapoel Karmiel
23 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 1 Ironi Nesher
19 Sept
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
1 : 1 Hapoel Karmiel
10 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
3 : 0 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Page 1 of 4
08 Oct
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 0 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
23 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 1 Ironi Nesher
10 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
3 : 0 Hapoel Bnei Musmus
27 Feb
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 2 Hapoel Ironi Arraba
13 Feb
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 1 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Page 1 of 2
Ironi Nesher
(Away) 08 Oct
MS Tira
2 : 1 Ironi Nesher
30 Sept
Ironi Nesher
4 : 1 Beitar Nahariya
23 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 1 Ironi Nesher
18 Sept
Ironi Nesher
5 : 1 Tzeirey Um El Fahem
09 Sept
Ironi Baka
0 : 2 Ironi Nesher
Page 1 of 4
08 Oct
MS Tira
2 : 1 Ironi Nesher
23 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 1 Ironi Nesher
09 Sept
Ironi Baka
0 : 2 Ironi Nesher
19 Feb
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3 : 0 Ironi Nesher
06 Feb
MS Tira
0 : 2 Ironi Nesher
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MS Tira | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Beitar Nahariya | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Hapoel Karmiel | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Ironi Nesher | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 10 |
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 10 |
| 6 | Nof Hagalil | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 8 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 9 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:15 | 6 |
| 10 | Ironi Baka | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 12 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 5 |
| 13 | H. Ihud Bnei Jatt | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Beit Shean | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 16 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 17 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:14 | 2 |
| 18 | Tzeirey Um El Fahem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)
