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Hapoel Karmiel vs Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

State Cup
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the State Cup. Hapoel Karmiel go into this one as the clear favorite. Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while Hapoel Karmiel have conceded 0.95 and scored 1.3. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Hapoel Karmiel. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hapoel Karmiel
25%
Draws
35%
Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Hapoel Karmiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Hapoel Karmiel have won more games recently than Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona.
  • Hapoel Karmiel are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Hapoel Karmiel have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Hapoel Karmiel Clean Sheet 20%
Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Karmiel Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona
Matches Played 20 10
Wins 7 3
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.3 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.95 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Karmiel 58 / 100
Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Karmiel Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Karmiel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Karmiel has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hapoel Karmiel found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (20 games).

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Karmiel VS Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona
0.25 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Karmiel

(Home)
08 Oct
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
01 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 0
Hapoel Karmiel
23 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 1
Ironi Nesher
19 Sept
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
1 : 1
Hapoel Karmiel
10 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
3 : 0
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Page 1 of 4

Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona

(Away)

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm -
FC Shefa-Amr -
Hapoel Karmiel -
Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona -
Hapoel Yarka -
Beitar Nahariya -
Ironi Nesher -
Kiryat Haim -
Nof Hagalil -
Hapoel Bnei Musmus -
Hapoel Tayibe -
Hapoel Daliyat -
MS Tira -
Maccabi Maalot -
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa -
Tzeirey Um El Fahem -
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi -
Beitar Mevaseret Zion -
Hapoel Arad -
Kfar Saba 1928 -
Hapoel Rahat FC -
Hapoel Sderot FC -
FC Dimona -
Yehuda -
Ramat Hasharon -
Bnei Eilat -
H. Herzliya -
Hapoel Azor -
Gissin Petah Tikva -
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