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Hapoel Karmiel vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Tue, Mar 9, 2027
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Karmiel host Tzeirey Um El Fahem in the Liga Alef North. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Hapoel Karmiel at 1.36 goals for, 0.91 against; Tzeirey Um El Fahem at 1 for, 1.39 against. Past meetings favor Hapoel Karmiel slightly — 1-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2027, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 0.32, favoring Hapoel Karmiel. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Hapoel Karmiel
35%
Draws
16%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hapoel Karmiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hapoel Karmiel come out ahead of Tzeirey Um El Fahem on wins alone.
  • Hapoel Karmiel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hapoel Karmiel Clean Sheet 20%
Tzeirey Um El Fahem Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Karmiel Tzeirey Um El Fahem
Matches Played 22 18
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.36 1
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2027 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Karmiel vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0:0
Nov 28, 2026 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Hapoel Karmiel
0:0
Apr 3, 2026 Liga Alef North
Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Hapoel Karmiel
0:0
Dec 19, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Karmiel vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Karmiel 85 / 100
Tzeirey Um El Fahem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Karmiel Tzeirey Um El Fahem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Karmiel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Hapoel Karmiel remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Hapoel Karmiel scored in 77% of their last 22 outings.

Defensive concern: Tzeirey Um El Fahem conceded in 72% of 18 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Karmiel VS Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 Goals Scored 0.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Karmiel

(Home)
08 Oct
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
01 Oct
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 0
Hapoel Karmiel
23 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 1
Ironi Nesher
19 Sept
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
1 : 1
Hapoel Karmiel
10 Sept
Hapoel Karmiel
3 : 0
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Page 1 of 5

Tzeirey Um El Fahem

(Away)
01 Oct
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
18 Sept
Ironi Nesher
5 : 1
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
10 Sept
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 1
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
06 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 : 0
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
27 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 2
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
15 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
16 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 6 0 2 4 2:14 2
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)