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Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula Prediction & H2H Stats

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
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Match Events

7' Event
Tubul N.
21' Event
Mbombo K.
22' Event
Cohen B. E.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League 2025/2026 game between Hapoel Kfar Saba and Hapoel Afula finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Hapoel Kfar Saba
15%
Draws
46%
Hapoel Afula
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hapoel Afula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Afula carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hapoel Afula's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Hapoel Kfar Saba Clean Sheet 10%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Kfar Saba Hapoel Afula
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula
3:3
Sep 14, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
1:1
Jan 13, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula
2:0
Sep 5, 2024 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
1:1
May 10, 2024 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Kfar Saba Compare

Top Goalscorer Julio Cesar
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tubul N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Hapoel Afula Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbombo K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cohen B. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Kfar Saba 26 / 100
Hapoel Afula 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Kfar Saba Hapoel Afula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Afula Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Kfar Saba found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Hapoel Afula let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Hapoel Kfar Saba has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Kfar Saba VS Hapoel Afula
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Kfar Saba

(Home)
28 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1 : 2
Yehuda
17 Sept
MS Kafr Qasim
4 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Saba
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 0
Kiryat Gat
06 Sept
H. Raanana
6 : 1
Hapoel Kfar Saba
30 Aug
M. Herzliya
0 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Saba
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Hapoel Afula

(Away)
24 Sept
Hapoel Akko
0 : 3
Hapoel Afula
17 Sept
Hapoel Afula
3 : 3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
10 Sept
Maccabi Bnei Raina
4 : 2
Hapoel Afula
06 Sept
Hapoel Afula
0 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
31 Aug
Hapoel Afula
3 : 2
H. Raanana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Petah Tikva 30 17 9 4 67:32 60
2 M. Herzliya 30 14 8 8 45:35 50
3 Hapoel Ramat Gan 30 14 7 9 48:36 49
4 H. Ironi Rishon 30 13 9 8 43:33 48
5 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 30 13 8 9 51:47 47
6 Yehuda 30 12 8 10 34:37 44
7 Kiryat Yam 30 13 7 10 43:37 42
8 Hapoel Kfar Saba 30 11 8 11 38:39 41
9 H. Raanana 30 10 8 12 29:36 38
10 Maccabi Jaffa 30 10 7 13 50:50 37
11 Hapoel Afula 30 9 9 12 32:48 36
12 MS Kafr Qasim 30 8 10 12 34:39 34
13 Nof Hagalil 30 6 14 10 37:45 32
14 Ironi Modiin 30 8 8 14 30:41 32
15 Hapoel Akko 30 6 13 11 32:42 31
16 Hapoel Hadera 30 4 11 15 32:48 23
Promotion - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)