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Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Kiryat Gat Prediction & H2H Stats

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Harel R.
(Penalty)
27' Event
Buganim R.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League game between Hapoel Kfar Saba and Kiryat Gat finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hapoel Kfar Saba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Hapoel Kfar Saba
20%
Draws
36%
Kiryat Gat
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Kfar Saba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Hapoel Kfar Saba haven't matched Kiryat Gat's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kiryat Gat a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Leumit League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Hapoel Kfar Saba Clean Sheet 19%
Kiryat Gat Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Kfar Saba Kiryat Gat
Matches Played 29 20
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 3
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.45 2
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Kiryat Gat
2:0
May 8, 2015 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Kiryat Gat
3:0
Feb 6, 2015 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Kiryat Gat
2:2
Oct 24, 2014 Leumit League
Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
1:0
Apr 2, 2004 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Kiryat Gat
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Kfar Saba Compare

Top Goalscorer Buganim R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kiryat Gat Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Kfar Saba 28 / 100
Kiryat Gat 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Kfar Saba Kiryat Gat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiryat Gat Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kiryat Gat has conceded goals in 80% of their last 20 outings.

Hapoel Kfar Saba found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Hapoel Kfar Saba remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Kfar Saba VS Kiryat Gat
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Kfar Saba

(Home)
28 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1 : 2
Yehuda
17 Sept
MS Kafr Qasim
4 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Saba
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 0
Kiryat Gat
06 Sept
H. Raanana
6 : 1
Hapoel Kfar Saba
30 Aug
M. Herzliya
0 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Saba
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Kiryat Gat

(Away)
28 Sept
Kiryat Gat
0 : 1
MS Kafr Qasim
17 Sept
H. Raanana
0 : 1
Kiryat Gat
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 0
Kiryat Gat
07 Sept
Kiryat Gat
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
30 Aug
Ironi Modiin
1 : 1
Kiryat Gat
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Ashdod 7 6 0 1 17:6 18
2 Yehuda 7 5 2 0 17:6 17
3 H. Ironi Rishon 7 5 1 1 13:7 16
4 H. Raanana 7 5 0 2 18:9 15
5 Hapoel Afula 7 4 1 2 14:10 13
6 Kiryat Yam 7 4 0 3 21:13 12
7 Maccabi Bnei Raina 7 4 0 3 12:11 12
8 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 7 3 2 2 15:16 11
9 MS Kafr Qasim 7 3 1 3 10:7 10
10 Kiryat Gat 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
11 M. Herzliya 7 2 2 3 8:10 8
12 M. Nazareth 7 2 1 4 7:10 7
13 Hapoel Kfar Saba 7 2 0 5 9:18 6
14 Ironi Modiin 7 1 2 4 10:14 5
15 Maccabi Jaffa 7 1 0 6 6:17 3
16 Hapoel Akko 7 0 0 7 0:22 0
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)