Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Nof Hagalil

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Tadesa M.
58'
Shavit I.
75' Event
Buganim R.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League 2025/2026 game between Hapoel Kfar Saba and Nof Hagalil finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hapoel Kfar Saba
30%
Draws
34%
Nof Hagalil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hapoel Kfar Saba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Kfar Saba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hapoel Kfar Saba's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Hapoel Kfar Saba Clean Sheet 20%
Nof Hagalil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Kfar Saba Nof Hagalil
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 13
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Nof Hagalil
1:1
Sep 29, 2025 Leumit League
Nof Hagalil vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
0:1
Feb 14, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Nof Hagalil
2:0
Oct 18, 2024 Leumit League
Nof Hagalil vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
0:1
Feb 2, 2024 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Nof Hagalil
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Kfar Saba Compare

Top Goalscorer Buganim R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Nof Hagalil Compare

Top Goalscorer Tadesa M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Kfar Saba 36 / 100
Nof Hagalil 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Kfar Saba Nof Hagalil

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Kfar Saba's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Nof Hagalil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Hapoel Kfar Saba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Kfar Saba VS Nof Hagalil
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Petah Tikva30179467:3260
2M. Herzliya30148845:3550
3Hapoel Ramat Gan30147948:3649
4H. Ironi Rishon30139843:3348
5Hapoel Kfar Shalem30138951:4747
6Yehuda301281034:3744
7Kiryat Yam301371043:3742
8Hapoel Kfar Saba301181138:3941
9H. Raanana301081229:3638
10Maccabi Jaffa301071350:5037
11Hapoel Afula30991232:4836
12MS Kafr Qasim308101234:3934
13Nof Hagalil306141037:4532
14Ironi Modiin30881430:4132
15Hapoel Akko306131132:4231
16Hapoel Hadera304111532:4823