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Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Kiryat Yam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Mizrahi Y.
23' Event
Beit Yaakov M.
33' Event
Silla S.

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Kfar Shalem in this Leumit League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hapoel Kfar Shalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
30%
Draws
39%
Kiryat Yam
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kiryat Yam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Hapoel Kfar Shalem have won more games recently than Kiryat Yam.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Hapoel Kfar Shalem have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hapoel Kfar Shalem Clean Sheet 10%
Kiryat Yam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Kfar Shalem Kiryat Yam
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Kiryat Yam
3:2
May 20, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Kiryat Yam
2:1
Feb 2, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Kiryat Yam
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Leumit League
Kiryat Yam vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Kfar Shalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Mizrahi Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beit Yaakov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Kiryat Yam Compare

Top Goalscorer Silla S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Atias O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Kfar Shalem 30 / 100
Kiryat Yam 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Kfar Shalem Kiryat Yam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiryat Yam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Kfar Shalem's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kiryat Yam let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Hapoel Kfar Shalem went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Kfar Shalem VS Kiryat Yam
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Kfar Shalem

(Home)
01 Oct
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
28 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
17 Sept
Hapoel Afula
3 : 3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 3
M. Nazareth
06 Sept
SC Ashdod
4 : 0
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Page 1 of 6

Kiryat Yam

(Away)
09 Oct
Kiryat Gat
2 : 2
Kiryat Yam
01 Oct
Kiryat Yam
2 : 0
Hapoel Kfar Saba
24 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 3
Kiryat Yam
17 Sept
Kiryat Yam
3 : 2
Ironi Modiin
10 Sept
H. Ironi Rishon
4 : 2
Kiryat Yam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yehuda 9 7 2 0 20:7 23
2 SC Ashdod 8 7 0 1 18:6 21
3 H. Ironi Rishon 8 5 2 1 15:9 17
4 Hapoel Afula 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
5 Kiryat Yam 9 5 1 3 25:15 16
6 H. Raanana 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
7 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 8 4 2 2 17:17 14
8 MS Kafr Qasim 9 4 1 4 12:9 13
9 Maccabi Bnei Raina 9 4 1 4 13:13 13
10 M. Nazareth 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
11 Kiryat Gat 9 2 3 4 9:11 9
12 Ironi Modiin 9 2 2 5 13:17 8
13 M. Herzliya 9 2 2 5 9:13 8
14 Maccabi Jaffa 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
15 Hapoel Kfar Saba 8 2 0 6 9:20 6
16 Hapoel Akko 9 0 1 8 0:23 1
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)