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Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs M. Nazareth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Leumit League
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Stephens A.
Penalty Missed
25' Event
Beit Yaakov M.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Mizrahi Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Leumit League matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
30%
Draws
33%
M. Nazareth
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • M. Nazareth haven't matched Hapoel Kfar Shalem's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hapoel Kfar Shalem a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Leumit League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Hapoel Kfar Shalem Clean Sheet 14%
M. Nazareth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Kfar Shalem M. Nazareth
Matches Played 29 19
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs M. Nazareth
3:3
May 7, 2021 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
0:2
Jan 7, 2021 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs M. Nazareth
2:2
Sep 17, 2020 Leumit League
M. Nazareth vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3:0
Apr 24, 1999 Leumit League
Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs M. Nazareth
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Kfar Shalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Mizrahi Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beit Yaakov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

M. Nazareth Compare

Top Goalscorer Dabbur A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stephens A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Kfar Shalem 35 / 100
M. Nazareth 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Kfar Shalem M. Nazareth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hapoel Kfar Shalem scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

M. Nazareth has conceded goals in 79% of their last 19 outings.

Hapoel Kfar Shalem has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Kfar Shalem VS M. Nazareth
2.5 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Kfar Shalem

(Home)
01 Oct
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
28 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
17 Sept
Hapoel Afula
3 : 3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 3
M. Nazareth
06 Sept
SC Ashdod
4 : 0
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
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M. Nazareth

(Away)
09 Oct
M. Herzliya
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
01 Oct
M. Nazareth
1 : 2
Ironi Modiin
24 Sept
H. Ironi Rishon
1 : 0
M. Nazareth
17 Sept
M. Nazareth
1 : 0
Hapoel Akko
10 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 3
M. Nazareth
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yehuda 9 7 2 0 20:7 23
2 SC Ashdod 8 7 0 1 18:6 21
3 H. Ironi Rishon 8 5 2 1 15:9 17
4 Hapoel Afula 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
5 Kiryat Yam 9 5 1 3 25:15 16
6 H. Raanana 8 5 0 3 19:11 15
7 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 8 4 2 2 17:17 14
8 MS Kafr Qasim 9 4 1 4 12:9 13
9 Maccabi Bnei Raina 9 4 1 4 13:13 13
10 M. Nazareth 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
11 Kiryat Gat 9 2 3 4 9:11 9
12 Ironi Modiin 9 2 2 5 13:17 8
13 M. Herzliya 9 2 2 5 9:13 8
14 Maccabi Jaffa 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
15 Hapoel Kfar Saba 8 2 0 6 9:20 6
16 Hapoel Akko 9 0 1 8 0:23 1
Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League (Relegation Group)