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Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs FC Dimona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bitton A.
41' Event
Alyagon R.
53' Event
Alyagon R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South game between Hapoel Mahane Yehuda and FC Dimona finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Dimona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
20%
Draws
69%
FC Dimona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Dimona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Dimona come out ahead of Hapoel Mahane Yehuda on wins alone.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on FC Dimona taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Clean Sheet 20%
FC Dimona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Mahane Yehuda FC Dimona
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 4 13
Draws 8 3
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs FC Dimona
2:3
Feb 23, 2018 Liga Alef South
FC Dimona vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
1:1
Oct 13, 2017 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs FC Dimona
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Compare

Top Goalscorer Osher O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shpungin Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

FC Dimona Compare

Top Goalscorer Alyagon R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bitton A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 28 / 100
FC Dimona 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda FC Dimona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Dimona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

FC Dimona has conceded goals in 65% of their last 23 outings.

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda VS FC Dimona
0.67 Goals Scored 0
1.33 Goals Conceded 0
67% Over 1.5 0%
17% Over 2.5 0%
17% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

(Home)
08 Oct
H. Herzliya
0 : 0
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
30 Sept
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
2 : 3
FC Dimona
23 Sept
Hapoel Azor
2 : 0
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
17 Sept
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
0 : 1
Hapoel Sderot FC
09 Sept
Ramat Hasharon
1 : 1
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Page 1 of 6

FC Dimona

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Dimona
4 : 1
Hapoel Sderot FC
30 Sept
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
2 : 3
FC Dimona
23 Sept
FC Dimona
1 : 5
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
17 Sept
Tzeirei Tira
0 : 1
FC Dimona
09 Sept
FC Dimona
1 : 0
Maccabi Yavne
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Dimona 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Shimshon Tel Aviv 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
4 H. Herzliya 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
5 Ramat Hasharon 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
6 Jerusalem FC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
7 Holon Yermiyahu 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
8 Maccabi Yavne 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
9 Hapoel Hadera 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
10 Hapoel Azor 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 6 1 4 1 8:7 7
12 Hapoel Sderot FC 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Ironi Beit Shemesh 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
14 Hapoel Marmorek 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Kfar Saba 1928 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
17 Tzeirei Tira 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
18 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 6 0 0 6 2:18 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)