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Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Sderot FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
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Match Events

55' Event
Eldada A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South game between Hapoel Mahane Yehuda and Hapoel Sderot FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hapoel Sderot FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
30%
Draws
47%
Hapoel Sderot FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hapoel Sderot FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Sderot FC's 1.56 goals per match outpaces what Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have produced (0.93).
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Hapoel Sderot FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Clean Sheet 12%
Hapoel Sderot FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Hapoel Sderot FC
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 4 4
Draws 8 1
Losses 18 4
Goals Scored 0.93 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Sderot FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Hapoel Sderot FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Eldada A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 10 / 100
Hapoel Sderot FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Hapoel Sderot FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Sderot FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hapoel Sderot FC conceded in 78% of 9 recent games.

Away concern: Hapoel Sderot FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda VS Hapoel Sderot FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

(Home)
08 Oct
H. Herzliya
0 : 0
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
30 Sept
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
2 : 3
FC Dimona
23 Sept
Hapoel Azor
2 : 0
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
17 Sept
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
0 : 1
Hapoel Sderot FC
09 Sept
Ramat Hasharon
1 : 1
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Sderot FC

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Dimona
4 : 1
Hapoel Sderot FC
01 Oct
Hapoel Sderot FC
0 : 0
Hapoel Azor
23 Sept
Ramat Hasharon
1 : 0
Hapoel Sderot FC
17 Sept
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
0 : 1
Hapoel Sderot FC
09 Sept
Hapoel Sderot FC
1 : 2
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Dimona 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Shimshon Tel Aviv 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
4 H. Herzliya 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
5 Ramat Hasharon 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
6 Jerusalem FC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
7 Holon Yermiyahu 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
8 Maccabi Yavne 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
9 Hapoel Hadera 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
10 Hapoel Azor 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 6 1 4 1 8:7 7
12 Hapoel Sderot FC 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Ironi Beit Shemesh 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
14 Hapoel Marmorek 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Kfar Saba 1928 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
17 Tzeirei Tira 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
18 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 6 0 0 6 2:18 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)