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Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Jerusalem FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda host Jerusalem FC in the Liga Alef South. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda at 0.93 goals for, 1.93 against; Jerusalem FC at 1.9 for, 1.19 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 0.35 vs 0.69, favoring Jerusalem FC. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
35%
Draws
52%
Jerusalem FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jerusalem FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Mahane Yehuda haven't matched Jerusalem FC's recent run of results.
  • Jerusalem FC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Clean Sheet 20%
Jerusalem FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Jerusalem FC
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 4 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.35 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 20 / 100
Jerusalem FC 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Jerusalem FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerusalem FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jerusalem FC let in goals in 81% of their last 21 matches.

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Jerusalem FC registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda VS Jerusalem FC
0.57 Goals Scored 0.25
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.13
57% Over 1.5 13%
14% Over 2.5 13%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

(Home)
08 Oct
H. Herzliya
0 : 0
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
30 Sept
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
2 : 3
FC Dimona
23 Sept
Hapoel Azor
2 : 0
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
17 Sept
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
0 : 1
Hapoel Sderot FC
09 Sept
Ramat Hasharon
1 : 1
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Page 1 of 6

Jerusalem FC

(Away)
09 Oct
Jerusalem FC
0 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
30 Sept
Tzeirei Tira
0 : 2
Jerusalem FC
24 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Yavne
18 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
1 : 3
Jerusalem FC
09 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Dimona 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Shimshon Tel Aviv 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
4 H. Herzliya 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
5 Ramat Hasharon 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
6 Jerusalem FC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
7 Holon Yermiyahu 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
8 Maccabi Yavne 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
9 Hapoel Hadera 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
10 Hapoel Azor 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 6 1 4 1 8:7 7
12 Hapoel Sderot FC 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Ironi Beit Shemesh 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
14 Hapoel Marmorek 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Kfar Saba 1928 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
17 Tzeirei Tira 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
18 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 6 0 0 6 2:18 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)