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Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Hadera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Attia O.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South game between Hapoel Marmorek and Hapoel Hadera finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hapoel Marmorek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Hapoel Marmorek
35%
Draws
53%
Hapoel Hadera
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Hapoel Hadera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hapoel Hadera come out ahead of Hapoel Marmorek on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Hapoel Hadera's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Alef South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Hapoel Marmorek have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Hapoel Marmorek Clean Sheet 24%
Hapoel Hadera Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Marmorek Hapoel Hadera
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0.82 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Hadera
1:0
Mar 29, 2018 Leumit League
Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Hadera
0:1
Dec 18, 2017 Leumit League
Hapoel Hadera vs Hapoel Marmorek
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Marmorek Compare

Top Goalscorer Attia O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Hapoel Hadera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Marmorek 25 / 100
Hapoel Hadera 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Marmorek Hapoel Hadera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Hadera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Hadera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Hapoel Marmorek's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Hapoel Marmorek has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Marmorek VS Hapoel Hadera
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Marmorek

(Home)
08 Oct
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
01 Oct
Kfar Saba 1928
2 : 2
Hapoel Marmorek
23 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
18 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
0 : 1
Ramat Hasharon
09 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Hapoel Marmorek
Page 1 of 5

Hapoel Hadera

(Away)
09 Oct
Hapoel Hadera
0 : 0
Maccabi Yavne
30 Sept
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
0 : 4
Hapoel Hadera
24 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
17 Sept
Kfar Saba 1928
0 : 1
Hapoel Hadera
09 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
2 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Dimona 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 H. Herzliya 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
4 Ramat Hasharon 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
5 Jerusalem FC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
6 Shimshon Tel Aviv 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
7 Holon Yermiyahu 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
8 Maccabi Yavne 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
9 Hapoel Hadera 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
10 Hapoel Azor 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 6 1 4 1 8:7 7
12 Hapoel Sderot FC 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Ironi Beit Shemesh 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
14 Hapoel Marmorek 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Kfar Saba 1928 5 1 1 3 7:7 4
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
17 Tzeirei Tira 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
18 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 6 0 0 6 2:18 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)