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Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Suchkov A.
42' Event
Marciano Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Alef South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Hapoel Marmorek
35%
Draws
51%
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Maccabi Ironi Ashdod at 1.81 per game, Hapoel Marmorek at 0.82.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Hapoel Marmorek Clean Sheet 31%
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Marmorek Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Matches Played 22 21
Wins 5 5
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.82 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
1:1
Feb 27, 2026 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Hapoel Marmorek
5:0
Mar 21, 2025 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Hapoel Marmorek
0:0
Nov 29, 2024 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Marmorek Compare

Top Goalscorer Suchkov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Compare

Top Goalscorer Marciano Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Marmorek 39 / 100
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Marmorek Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod let in goals in 86% of their last 21 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Hapoel Marmorek scored in 59% of their last 22 outings.

Hapoel Marmorek went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Marmorek VS Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
0.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Marmorek

(Home)
08 Oct
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
01 Oct
Kfar Saba 1928
2 : 2
Hapoel Marmorek
23 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
18 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
0 : 1
Ramat Hasharon
09 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Hapoel Marmorek
Page 1 of 5

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

(Away)
08 Oct
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
30 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 0
Holon Yermiyahu
24 Sept
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
18 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2 : 2
Ironi Beit Shemesh
09 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Dimona 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Shimshon Tel Aviv 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
4 H. Herzliya 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
5 Ramat Hasharon 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
6 Jerusalem FC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
7 Holon Yermiyahu 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
8 Maccabi Yavne 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
9 Hapoel Hadera 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
10 Hapoel Azor 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 6 1 4 1 8:7 7
12 Hapoel Sderot FC 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Ironi Beit Shemesh 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
14 Hapoel Marmorek 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Kfar Saba 1928 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
17 Tzeirei Tira 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
18 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 6 0 0 6 2:18 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)