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Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Yavne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Marmorek host Maccabi Yavne in the Liga Alef South. This one's hard to separate. Hapoel Marmorek have averaged 0.82 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Maccabi Yavne's 2 scored and 0.95 conceded. Past meetings favor Maccabi Yavne slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.25 xG vs 0.50) point toward Maccabi Yavne. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Hapoel Marmorek
35%
Draws
49%
Maccabi Yavne
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maccabi Yavne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Maccabi Yavne have won more games recently than Hapoel Marmorek.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Maccabi Yavne taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hapoel Marmorek Clean Sheet 20%
Maccabi Yavne Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Marmorek Maccabi Yavne
Matches Played 22 21
Wins 5 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 0.82 2
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.95
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Marmorek
0:0
Dec 18, 2025 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Yavne
0:2
Jan 14, 2025 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Yavne
1:1
Sep 12, 2024 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Marmorek
4:4
Feb 22, 2024 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Marmorek vs Maccabi Yavne
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Marmorek 28 / 100
Maccabi Yavne 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Marmorek Maccabi Yavne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Yavne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Maccabi Yavne has conceded goals in 67% of their last 21 outings.

Hapoel Marmorek found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (22 games).

Solid form: Hapoel Marmorek remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Marmorek VS Maccabi Yavne
0.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
13% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Marmorek

(Home)
08 Oct
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
01 Oct
Kfar Saba 1928
2 : 2
Hapoel Marmorek
23 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
18 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
0 : 1
Ramat Hasharon
09 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Hapoel Marmorek
Page 1 of 5

Maccabi Yavne

(Away)
09 Oct
Hapoel Hadera
0 : 0
Maccabi Yavne
01 Oct
Maccabi Yavne
5 : 1
Ironi Beit Shemesh
24 Sept
Jerusalem FC
1 : 1
Maccabi Yavne
18 Sept
Maccabi Yavne
0 : 0
H. Herzliya
09 Sept
FC Dimona
1 : 0
Maccabi Yavne
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Dimona 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Shimshon Tel Aviv 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
4 H. Herzliya 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
5 Ramat Hasharon 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
6 Jerusalem FC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
7 Holon Yermiyahu 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
8 Maccabi Yavne 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
9 Hapoel Hadera 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
10 Hapoel Azor 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 6 1 4 1 8:7 7
12 Hapoel Sderot FC 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Ironi Beit Shemesh 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
14 Hapoel Marmorek 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Kfar Saba 1928 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
17 Tzeirei Tira 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
18 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 6 0 0 6 2:18 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)