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Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs FC Tzeirey Tamra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Liga Alef North
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Match Events

8' Event
Andino A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef North game between Hapoel Migdal HaEmek and FC Tzeirey Tamra finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hapoel Migdal HaEmek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
20%
Draws
34%
FC Tzeirey Tamra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Tzeirey Tamra haven't matched Hapoel Migdal HaEmek's recent run of results.
  • Hapoel Migdal HaEmek are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hapoel Migdal HaEmek here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Clean Sheet 20%
FC Tzeirey Tamra Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Migdal HaEmek FC Tzeirey Tamra
Matches Played 20 21
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 2
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.85 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.15 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs FC Tzeirey Tamra
1:0
Feb 27, 2026 Liga Alef North
FC Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0:2
Oct 30, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs FC Tzeirey Tamra
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Compare

Top Goalscorer Andino A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FC Tzeirey Tamra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 85 / 100
FC Tzeirey Tamra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek FC Tzeirey Tamra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

FC Tzeirey Tamra has conceded goals in 81% of their last 21 outings.

Recent resilience: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

FC Tzeirey Tamra lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek VS FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

(Home)
08 Oct
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
1 : 0
FC Tzeirey Tamra
30 Sept
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
1 : 1
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
24 Sept
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2 : 3
Nof Hagalil
18 Sept
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
2 : 4
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
05 Sept
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
2 : 2
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Page 1 of 4

FC Tzeirey Tamra

(Away)
08 Oct
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
1 : 0
FC Tzeirey Tamra
30 Sept
Nof Hagalil
2 : 3
FC Tzeirey Tamra
23 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 0
Beit Shean
18 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 4
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
09 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 2
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
15 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
16 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 6 0 2 4 2:14 2
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)