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Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Karmiel

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Fri, Mar 6, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek play Hapoel Karmiel in the Liga Alef North. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Hapoel Karmiel averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek won 0, Hapoel Karmiel won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 6, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.44 for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek and 0.61 for Hapoel Karmiel. This points to a Hapoel Migdal HaEmek double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
20%
Draws
39%
Hapoel Karmiel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Migdal HaEmek picked up more points recently compared to Hapoel Karmiel.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.44 vs 0.61 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Clean Sheet 29%
Hapoel Karmiel Clean Sheet 23%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Hapoel Karmiel
Matches Played 20 20
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Hapoel Karmiel
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Karmiel vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 43 / 100
Hapoel Karmiel 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Hapoel Karmiel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek attacking → ← attacking Hapoel Karmiel

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek scored in 65% of their last 20 games.

Hapoel Karmiel let in goals in 60% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hapoel Karmiel lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 28
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00