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Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek host Ironi Baka in the Liga Alef North. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Ironi Baka have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have conceded 1.15 and scored 1.85. Head-to-head, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have won 0 to Ironi Baka's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Jan 16, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (0.88 - 0.69) back Hapoel Migdal HaEmek to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
30%
Draws
23%
Ironi Baka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek come out ahead of Ironi Baka on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Hapoel Migdal HaEmek's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Clean Sheet 20%
Ironi Baka Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Ironi Baka
Matches Played 20 21
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.85 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Liga Alef North
Ironi Baka vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2:1
Sep 5, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka
0:0
Apr 4, 2025 Liga Alef North
Ironi Baka vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0:0
Jan 3, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka
2:2
Mar 15, 2024 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Baka
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 58 / 100
Ironi Baka 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Ironi Baka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (20 games).

Ironi Baka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 21 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek VS Ironi Baka
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

(Home)
08 Oct
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
1 : 0
FC Tzeirey Tamra
30 Sept
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
1 : 1
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
24 Sept
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2 : 3
Nof Hagalil
18 Sept
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
2 : 4
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
05 Sept
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
2 : 2
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Page 1 of 4

Ironi Baka

(Away)
08 Oct
Ironi Baka
1 : 2
Nof Hagalil
30 Sept
Beit Shean
2 : 1
Ironi Baka
23 Sept
Ironi Baka
3 : 1
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
19 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
3 : 3
Ironi Baka
09 Sept
Ironi Baka
0 : 2
Ironi Nesher
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
15 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
16 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 6 0 2 4 2:14 2
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)