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Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Nesher

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek play Ironi Nesher in the Liga Alef North. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Ironi Nesher averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek won 3, Ironi Nesher won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 19, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.51 for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek and 1.05 for Ironi Nesher. This points to a Hapoel Migdal HaEmek double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
22%
Draws
31%
Ironi Nesher
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Hapoel Migdal HaEmek picked up more points recently compared to Ironi Nesher.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.51 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Clean Sheet 22%
Ironi Nesher Clean Sheet 22%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Ironi Nesher
Matches Played 20 20
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Nesher
3:0
Oct 17, 2025 Liga Alef North
Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2:0
Feb 28, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Nesher
0:0
Dec 3, 2024 Liga Alef North
Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0:3
Feb 17, 2024 Liga Alef North
Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Compare

Top Goalscorer Bura N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dahan L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Ironi Nesher Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 47 / 100
Ironi Nesher 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Ironi Nesher

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek attacking → ← attacking Ironi Nesher

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek scored in 65% of their last 20 games.

Ironi Nesher let in goals in 75% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ironi Nesher lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 25
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00