Sport Picks
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Nof Hagalil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Israel
Liga Alef North 
Match Events
4'
4'
Bitan L.
16'
16'
Rayan A.
38'
38'
Douev S.
AI Match Summary
Nof Hagalil in this Liga Alef North matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nof Hagalil.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nof Hagalil
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek average 1.81 goals a game right now, well clear of Nof Hagalil's 1.46.
- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Clean Sheet 20%
Nof Hagalil Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Nof Hagalil |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.65 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 24, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Nof Hagalil
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Compare
Top Goalscorer Douev S.
1 Goals Assists Leader ShaShimon A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82
Nof Hagalil Compare
Top Goalscorer Bitan L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rayan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 36 / 100
Nof Hagalil 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Nof Hagalil
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek scored in 81% of their last 21 outings.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Nof Hagalil let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek VS Nof Hagalil
1.67 Goals Scored 0.88
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
(Home) 08 Oct
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
1 : 0 FC Tzeirey Tamra
30 Sept
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
1 : 1 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
24 Sept
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2 : 3 Nof Hagalil
18 Sept
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
2 : 4 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
05 Sept
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
2 : 2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
Page 1 of 5
08 Oct
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
1 : 0 FC Tzeirey Tamra
24 Sept
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2 : 3 Nof Hagalil
19 Feb
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3 : 0 Ironi Nesher
06 Feb
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3 : 1 Tzeirey Um El Fahem
26 Jan
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
3 : 1 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
Page 1 of 2
Nof Hagalil
(Away) 08 Oct
Ironi Baka
1 : 2 Nof Hagalil
30 Sept
Nof Hagalil
2 : 3 FC Tzeirey Tamra
24 Sept
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2 : 3 Nof Hagalil
09 Sept
Nof Hagalil
1 : 0 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
05 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 2 Nof Hagalil
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Ironi Baka
1 : 2 Nof Hagalil
24 Sept
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2 : 3 Nof Hagalil
05 Sept
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 2 Nof Hagalil
15 May
Hapoel Afula
2 : 1 Nof Hagalil
11 May
MS Kafr Qasim
1 : 1 Nof Hagalil
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MS Tira | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Beitar Nahariya | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 13 |
| 3 | Hapoel Karmiel | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Ironi Nesher | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 10 |
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 10 |
| 6 | Nof Hagalil | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 8 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 9 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:15 | 6 |
| 10 | Ironi Baka | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 11 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 12 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 5 |
| 13 | H. Ihud Bnei Jatt | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Beit Shean | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 16 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 17 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:14 | 2 |
| 18 | Tzeirey Um El Fahem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)
