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Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Petah Tikva host Beitar Jerusalem in the Ligat ha'Al. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Hapoel Petah Tikva at 0.7 goals for, 1.5 against; Beitar Jerusalem at 1.87 for, 1.43 against. Past meetings favor Beitar Jerusalem slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 19, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.81) point toward Beitar Jerusalem. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Hapoel Petah Tikva
15%
Draws
64%
Beitar Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beitar Jerusalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Beitar Jerusalem have won more games recently than Hapoel Petah Tikva.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Beitar Jerusalem have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Hapoel Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 11%
Beitar Jerusalem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Petah Tikva Beitar Jerusalem
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 7 10
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 0.7 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem
0:0
Apr 28, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
3:1
Jan 17, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem
1:3
Oct 4, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
5:2
Apr 21, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Petah Tikva 35 / 100
Beitar Jerusalem 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Petah Tikva Beitar Jerusalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beitar Jerusalem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Beitar Jerusalem has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Hapoel Petah Tikva scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Hapoel Petah Tikva remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Petah Tikva VS Beitar Jerusalem
0.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Petah Tikva

(Home)
18 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
13 Sept
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0 : 2
H. Beer Sheva
05 Sept
Maccabi Haifa
2 : 1
Hapoel Petah Tikva
29 Aug
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0
Hapoel Jerusalem
22 Aug
Ironi Tiberias
1 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
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Beitar Jerusalem

(Away)
19 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
15 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
07 Sept
Sakhnin
0 : 1
Beitar Jerusalem
03 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Beitar Jerusalem
29 Aug
Beitar Jerusalem
1 : 4
Netanya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 5 5 0 0 18:6 15
2 Maccabi Haifa 5 4 0 1 12:7 12
3 Hapoel Tel Aviv 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
4 H. Beer Sheva 5 3 1 1 8:7 10
5 Beitar Jerusalem 5 3 0 2 7:9 9
6 Hapoel Jerusalem 5 2 1 2 12:12 7
7 Hapoel Haifa 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
8 Maccabi Petah Tikva 5 2 0 3 8:11 6
9 Netanya 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
10 Sakhnin 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
11 Hapoel Ramat Gan 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
12 Shmona 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
13 Hapoel Petah Tikva 5 1 0 4 2:8 3
14 Ironi Tiberias 5 2 1 2 7:8 1
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)