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Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Jerusalem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Kimvuidi K.
Assist: Rivollier F.
45'
Haimovich T.
52'
Sub
Haimovich T. In: Distelfeld Y.
Out: Haimovich T.

AI Match Summary

The Ligat ha'Al game between Hapoel Petah Tikva and Hapoel Jerusalem finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hapoel Petah Tikva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Hapoel Petah Tikva
15%
Draws
59%
Hapoel Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hapoel Jerusalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hapoel Jerusalem come out ahead of Hapoel Petah Tikva on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hapoel Jerusalem a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligat ha'Al form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Hapoel Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 13%
Hapoel Jerusalem Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Jerusalem
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Jerusalem
1:0
Aug 9, 2026 Toto Cup
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
3:1
Jan 23, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Jerusalem
0:0
Jul 26, 2025 Toto Cup
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Petah Tikva Compare

Top Goalscorer Kimvuidi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hapoel Jerusalem Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Petah Tikva 27 / 100
Hapoel Jerusalem 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Jerusalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Jerusalem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Petah Tikva scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Hapoel Jerusalem conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Hapoel Petah Tikva remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Petah Tikva VS Hapoel Jerusalem
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Petah Tikva

(Home)
18 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
13 Sept
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0 : 2
H. Beer Sheva
05 Sept
Maccabi Haifa
2 : 1
Hapoel Petah Tikva
29 Aug
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0
Hapoel Jerusalem
22 Aug
Ironi Tiberias
1 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Jerusalem

(Away)
19 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 4
Hapoel Jerusalem
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2
Shmona
29 Aug
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0
Hapoel Jerusalem
23 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
2 : 5
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 5 5 0 0 18:6 15
2 Maccabi Haifa 5 4 0 1 12:7 12
3 Hapoel Tel Aviv 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
4 H. Beer Sheva 5 3 1 1 8:7 10
5 Beitar Jerusalem 5 3 0 2 7:9 9
6 Hapoel Jerusalem 5 2 1 2 12:12 7
7 Hapoel Haifa 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
8 Maccabi Petah Tikva 5 2 0 3 8:11 6
9 Netanya 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
10 Sakhnin 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
11 Hapoel Ramat Gan 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
12 Shmona 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
13 Hapoel Petah Tikva 5 1 0 4 2:8 3
14 Ironi Tiberias 5 2 1 2 7:8 1
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)