Sport Picks
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias
Israel
Toto Cup 2025 Ramat Gan Stadium, Ramat Gan 
Match Events
11'
11'
Gotlieb N.
Assist: Habiballah W.
21'
21'
Golan B.
33'
33'
Dgani O.
Assist: Golan B.
AI Match Summary
Hapoel Petah Tikva in this Toto Cup 2025 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Petah Tikva
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ironi Tiberias average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Hapoel Petah Tikva's 0.88.
- Hapoel Petah Tikva are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Hapoel Petah Tikva, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Hapoel Petah Tikva have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Hapoel Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 16%
Ironi Tiberias Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ironi Tiberias |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 10, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
1:4
Sep 27, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 Toto Cup
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias
3:2
Apr 21, 2023 Leumit League
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias
3:0
Jan 27, 2023 Leumit League
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hapoel Petah Tikva Compare
Top Goalscorer Golan B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dgani O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Ironi Tiberias Compare
Top Goalscorer Gotlieb N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bilenkyi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hapoel Petah Tikva 41 / 100
Ironi Tiberias 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hapoel Petah Tikva Ironi Tiberias
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Ironi Tiberias has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Hapoel Petah Tikva remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Hapoel Petah Tikva VS Ironi Tiberias
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hapoel Petah Tikva
(Home) 25 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0 Maccabi Petah Tikva
20 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 1 Yehuda
17 Jul
Svoge
2 : 1 Hapoel Petah Tikva
14 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2 : 0 Spartak Pleven
09 Jul
H. Ironi Rishon
0 : 0 Hapoel Petah Tikva
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0 Maccabi Petah Tikva
20 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 1 Yehuda
14 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2 : 0 Spartak Pleven
23 May
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2 : 2 Maccabi Tel Aviv
19 May
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0 : 0 Beitar Jerusalem
Page 1 of 3
Ironi Tiberias
(Away) 25 Jul
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 1 Sakhnin
11 Jul
Luzino
1 : 0 Ironi Tiberias
03 Jul
Ironi Tiberias
3 : 3 Netanya
18 May
Hapoel Jerusalem
0 : 2 Ironi Tiberias
13 May
Ironi Tiberias
1 : 0 Maccabi Bnei Raina
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Luzino
1 : 0 Ironi Tiberias
18 May
Hapoel Jerusalem
0 : 2 Ironi Tiberias
03 May
SC Ashdod
0 : 3 Ironi Tiberias
29 Apr
Hapoel Haifa
1 : 1 Ironi Tiberias
18 Apr
Sakhnin
0 : 0 Ironi Tiberias
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
5th place
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
Hapoel Jerusalem1
Maccabi Haifa0
Maccabi Bnei Raina2
Netanya1
Shmona0
Hapoel Petah Tikva3
Ironi Tiberias2
SC Ashdod2
Sakhnin3