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Hapoel Rahat FC vs Hapoel Sderot FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

State Cup
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the State Cup. This has Hapoel Rahat FC written all over it on paper. Hapoel Rahat FC have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Hapoel Sderot FC's 1.56 scored and 1.56 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Hapoel Rahat FC. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hapoel Rahat FC
25%
Draws
35%
Hapoel Sderot FC
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Hapoel Rahat FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hapoel Rahat FC lately — more wins on the board than Hapoel Sderot FC.
  • Model gives Hapoel Rahat FC a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Hapoel Rahat FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Hapoel Rahat FC Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Sderot FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Rahat FC Hapoel Sderot FC
Matches Played 10 9
Wins 5 4
Draws 3 1
Losses 2 4
Goals Scored 1.8 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Rahat FC 58 / 100
Hapoel Sderot FC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Rahat FC Hapoel Sderot FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Rahat FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Sderot FC let in goals in 78% of their last 9 matches.

Away concern: Hapoel Sderot FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Rahat FC VS Hapoel Sderot FC
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Rahat FC

(Home)

Hapoel Sderot FC

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Dimona
4 : 1
Hapoel Sderot FC
01 Oct
Hapoel Sderot FC
0 : 0
Hapoel Azor
23 Sept
Ramat Hasharon
1 : 0
Hapoel Sderot FC
17 Sept
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
0 : 1
Hapoel Sderot FC
09 Sept
Hapoel Sderot FC
1 : 2
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm -
FC Shefa-Amr -
Hapoel Karmiel -
Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona -
Hapoel Yarka -
Beitar Nahariya -
Ironi Nesher -
Kiryat Haim -
Nof Hagalil -
Hapoel Bnei Musmus -
Hapoel Tayibe -
Hapoel Daliyat -
MS Tira -
Maccabi Maalot -
Hapoel Bnei Jisr az-Zarqa -
Tzeirey Um El Fahem -
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi -
Beitar Mevaseret Zion -
Hapoel Arad -
Kfar Saba 1928 -
Hapoel Rahat FC -
Hapoel Sderot FC -
FC Dimona -
Yehuda -
Ramat Hasharon -
Bnei Eilat -
H. Herzliya -
Hapoel Azor -
Gissin Petah Tikva -
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Bnei Herzliya -
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Final
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