Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Sderot FC vs H. Herzliya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Sderot FC host H. Herzliya in the Liga Alef South. Little to choose between these two on current form. H. Herzliya have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Hapoel Sderot FC have conceded 1.56 and scored 1.56. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (0.56 - 0.81) back Hapoel Sderot FC to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Hapoel Sderot FC
35%
Draws
45%
H. Herzliya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: H. Herzliya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Hapoel Sderot FC at 1.56 per game, H. Herzliya at 0.7.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hapoel Sderot FC Clean Sheet 20%
H. Herzliya Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Sderot FC H. Herzliya
Matches Played 9 20
Wins 4 4
Draws 1 7
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.56 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Sderot FC 32 / 100
H. Herzliya 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Sderot FC H. Herzliya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick H. Herzliya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Sderot FC found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (9 games).

H. Herzliya let in goals in 70% of their last 20 matches.

Solid form: Hapoel Sderot FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Sderot FC VS H. Herzliya
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Sderot FC

(Home)
09 Oct
FC Dimona
4 : 1
Hapoel Sderot FC
01 Oct
Hapoel Sderot FC
0 : 0
Hapoel Azor
23 Sept
Ramat Hasharon
1 : 0
Hapoel Sderot FC
17 Sept
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
0 : 1
Hapoel Sderot FC
09 Sept
Hapoel Sderot FC
1 : 2
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
Page 1 of 2

H. Herzliya

(Away)
08 Oct
H. Herzliya
0 : 0
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
30 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
0 : 0
H. Herzliya
23 Sept
H. Herzliya
1 : 0
Tzeirei Tira
18 Sept
Maccabi Yavne
0 : 0
H. Herzliya
09 Sept
H. Herzliya
3 : 1
Beitar Nordia Jerusalem
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Dimona 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Shimshon Tel Aviv 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
4 H. Herzliya 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
5 Ramat Hasharon 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
6 Jerusalem FC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
7 Holon Yermiyahu 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
8 Maccabi Yavne 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
9 Hapoel Hadera 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
10 Hapoel Azor 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 6 1 4 1 8:7 7
12 Hapoel Sderot FC 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Ironi Beit Shemesh 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
14 Hapoel Marmorek 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Kfar Saba 1928 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
17 Tzeirei Tira 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
18 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 6 0 0 6 2:18 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)