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Hapoel Sderot FC vs Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Zohar O.
78' Event
Kuznetsov R.
90'
Nir Y.

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi in this Liga Alef South matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Hapoel Sderot FC
20%
Draws
61%
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Hapoel Sderot FC haven't matched Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Hapoel Sderot FC Clean Sheet 27%
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Sderot FC Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
Matches Played 9 20
Wins 4 9
Draws 1 6
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.56 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Sderot FC vs Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Sderot FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuznetsov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi Compare

Top Goalscorer Zohar O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mizrahi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Sderot FC 10 / 100
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Sderot FC Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Sderot FC scored in 78% of their last 9 games.

Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi has conceded goals in 70% of their last 20 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Hapoel Sderot FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Sderot FC VS Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.25
43% Over 1.5 25%
43% Over 2.5 13%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Sderot FC

(Home)
09 Oct
FC Dimona
4 : 1
Hapoel Sderot FC
01 Oct
Hapoel Sderot FC
0 : 0
Hapoel Azor
23 Sept
Ramat Hasharon
1 : 0
Hapoel Sderot FC
17 Sept
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
0 : 1
Hapoel Sderot FC
09 Sept
Hapoel Sderot FC
1 : 2
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
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Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi

(Away)
09 Oct
Jerusalem FC
0 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
30 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
0 : 0
H. Herzliya
23 Sept
FC Dimona
1 : 5
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
18 Sept
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
3 : 0
Hapoel Azor
09 Sept
Hapoel Sderot FC
1 : 2
Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Dimona 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Shimshon Tel Aviv 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
4 H. Herzliya 6 3 3 0 6:2 12
5 Ramat Hasharon 6 3 3 0 6:3 12
6 Jerusalem FC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
7 Holon Yermiyahu 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
8 Maccabi Yavne 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
9 Hapoel Hadera 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
10 Hapoel Azor 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
11 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 6 1 4 1 8:7 7
12 Hapoel Sderot FC 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Ironi Beit Shemesh 6 2 1 3 8:14 7
14 Hapoel Marmorek 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Kfar Saba 1928 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
16 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
17 Tzeirei Tira 6 0 0 6 2:13 0
18 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 6 0 0 6 2:18 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)