Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Enow B.
30'
Kancepolsky E. Y.
34'
Gadrani L.

AI Match Summary

Beitar Jerusalem in this Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beitar Jerusalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
28%
Draws
22%
Beitar Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Hapoel Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Beitar Jerusalem have won more games recently than Hapoel Tel Aviv.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Hapoel Tel Aviv taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 19%
Beitar Jerusalem Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Tel Aviv Beitar Jerusalem
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 17 18
Draws 8 10
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Toto Cup
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
2:3
May 23, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:1
May 6, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
0:1
Jan 1, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:0
Oct 28, 2025 Toto Cup
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Tel Aviv Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Beitar Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalu J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Tel Aviv 49 / 100
Beitar Jerusalem 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Tel Aviv Beitar Jerusalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Tel Aviv has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hapoel Tel Aviv's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Beitar Jerusalem conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Tel Aviv VS Beitar Jerusalem
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Tel Aviv

(Home)
18 Jul
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
14 Jul
Banska Bystrica
0 : 0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
11 Jul
Dun. Streda
0 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
08 Jul
Zlin
1 : 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
03 Jul
Yehuda
3 : 3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
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Beitar Jerusalem

(Away)
18 Jul
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
09 Jul
Beitar Jerusalem
1 : 0
Dukagjini
07 Jul
Arda
0 : 0
Beitar Jerusalem
03 Jul
Botev Vratsa
2 : 2
Beitar Jerusalem
23 May
Beitar Jerusalem
1 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1H. Beer Sheva36247579:3879
2Beitar Jerusalem362210478:4076
3Maccabi Tel Aviv36199872:4666
4Hapoel Tel Aviv361881055:3560
5Maccabi Haifa3615101166:4755
6Hapoel Petah Tikva369131448:5740
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