Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Enow B.
30'
Kancepolsky E. Y.
34'
Gadrani L.

AI Match Summary

Beitar Jerusalem in this Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beitar Jerusalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
15%
Draws
40%
Beitar Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hapoel Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Beitar Jerusalem have won more games recently than Hapoel Tel Aviv.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Hapoel Tel Aviv taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 18%
Beitar Jerusalem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Tel Aviv Beitar Jerusalem
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
3:0
Jul 18, 2026 Toto Cup
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
2:3
May 23, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:1
May 6, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
0:1
Jan 1, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Tel Aviv Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Beitar Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalu J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Tel Aviv 85 / 100
Beitar Jerusalem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Tel Aviv Beitar Jerusalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Tel Aviv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hapoel Tel Aviv scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Beitar Jerusalem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Hapoel Tel Aviv has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Tel Aviv VS Beitar Jerusalem
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Tel Aviv

(Home)
18 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
14 Sept
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
07 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4 : 0
Hapoel Ramat Gan
03 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Beitar Jerusalem
30 Aug
Hapoel Haifa
0 : 0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

Beitar Jerusalem

(Away)
19 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 1
Hapoel Haifa
15 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
07 Sept
Sakhnin
0 : 1
Beitar Jerusalem
03 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Beitar Jerusalem
29 Aug
Beitar Jerusalem
1 : 4
Netanya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 H. Beer Sheva 36 24 7 5 79:38 79
2 Beitar Jerusalem 36 22 10 4 78:40 76
3 Maccabi Tel Aviv 36 19 9 8 72:46 66
4 Hapoel Tel Aviv 36 18 8 10 55:35 60
5 Maccabi Haifa 36 15 10 11 66:47 55
6 Hapoel Petah Tikva 36 9 13 14 48:57 40
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)