Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Coco M.
17' Event
Alkoukin R.
Assist: Turiel S.
38'
Ansah E.

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Tel Aviv in this Ligat ha'Al matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hapoel Tel Aviv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
15%
Draws
40%
Beitar Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hapoel Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv have won more games recently than Beitar Jerusalem.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Hapoel Tel Aviv taking it.
  • Regular Ligat ha'Al form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 18%
Beitar Jerusalem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Tel Aviv Beitar Jerusalem
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 15 14
Draws 10 10
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.84
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
3:0
Jul 18, 2026 Toto Cup
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
2:3
May 23, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:1
May 6, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem
0:1
Jan 1, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Alkoukin R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Owusu D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Beitar Jerusalem Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Tel Aviv 85 / 100
Beitar Jerusalem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Tel Aviv Beitar Jerusalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Tel Aviv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Tel Aviv's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Beitar Jerusalem conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Hapoel Tel Aviv has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Tel Aviv VS Beitar Jerusalem
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Tel Aviv

(Home)
18 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
14 Sept
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
07 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4 : 0
Hapoel Ramat Gan
03 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Beitar Jerusalem
30 Aug
Hapoel Haifa
0 : 0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
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Beitar Jerusalem

(Away)
15 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
07 Sept
Sakhnin
0 : 1
Beitar Jerusalem
03 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Beitar Jerusalem
29 Aug
Beitar Jerusalem
1 : 4
Netanya
17 Aug
Hapoel Ramat Gan
3 : 4
Beitar Jerusalem
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 4 4 0 0 16:5 12
2 Hapoel Tel Aviv 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
3 Maccabi Haifa 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
4 H. Beer Sheva 4 2 1 1 7:7 7
5 Hapoel Haifa 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
6 Maccabi Petah Tikva 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
7 Beitar Jerusalem 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
8 Netanya 4 1 2 1 5:4 5
9 Hapoel Jerusalem 4 1 1 2 8:10 4
10 Hapoel Ramat Gan 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
11 Shmona 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
12 Hapoel Petah Tikva 5 1 0 4 2:8 3
13 Ironi Tiberias 4 2 1 1 5:5 1
14 Sakhnin 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)