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Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Tel Aviv host Ironi Tiberias in the Ligat ha'Al. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Ironi Tiberias have shipped 1.64 goals a game lately, while Hapoel Tel Aviv have conceded 0.85 and scored 1.41. Past meetings favor Hapoel Tel Aviv slightly — 3-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 0.81, favoring Hapoel Tel Aviv. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
20%
Draws
33%
Ironi Tiberias
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hapoel Tel Aviv lately — more wins on the board than Ironi Tiberias.
  • Win probability leans Hapoel Tel Aviv's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 20%
Ironi Tiberias Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Tel Aviv Ironi Tiberias
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 17 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ironi Tiberias
2:0
Dec 28, 2024 State Cup
Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Tel Aviv 85 / 100
Ironi Tiberias 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Tel Aviv Ironi Tiberias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Tel Aviv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hapoel Tel Aviv scored in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Ironi Tiberias's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Hapoel Tel Aviv has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Tel Aviv VS Ironi Tiberias
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Tel Aviv

(Home)
18 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
14 Sept
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
07 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
4 : 0
Hapoel Ramat Gan
03 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0
Beitar Jerusalem
30 Aug
Hapoel Haifa
0 : 0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
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Ironi Tiberias

(Away)
19 Sept
Maccabi Haifa
3 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
29 Aug
Shmona
2 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
22 Aug
Ironi Tiberias
1 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 5 5 0 0 18:6 15
2 Maccabi Haifa 5 4 0 1 12:7 12
3 Hapoel Tel Aviv 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
4 H. Beer Sheva 5 3 1 1 8:7 10
5 Beitar Jerusalem 5 3 0 2 7:9 9
6 Hapoel Jerusalem 5 2 1 2 12:12 7
7 Hapoel Haifa 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
8 Maccabi Petah Tikva 5 2 0 3 8:11 6
9 Netanya 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
10 Sakhnin 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
11 Hapoel Ramat Gan 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
12 Shmona 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
13 Hapoel Petah Tikva 5 1 0 4 2:8 3
14 Ironi Tiberias 5 2 1 2 7:8 1
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)