Sport Picks

Israel

State Cup Bloomfield Stadium

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Wed, Jan 14, 2026

1 - 2

06:30 PM

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Our Tip

Match Events

50'

Varela H.

53'

Turiel S.

65'

Revivo R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Tel Aviv in this State Cup matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Hapoel Tel Aviv

28%

Draws

22%

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Hapoel Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Maccabi Tel Aviv have won more games recently than Hapoel Tel Aviv.
Model gives Hapoel Tel Aviv a 50% chance of winning this.
Cup games in State Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 11%

Maccabi Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hapoel Tel Aviv	Maccabi Tel Aviv
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	15	16
Draws	7	6
Losses	7	9
Goals Scored	1.13	2
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligat ha'Al

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Apr 19, 2026 Ligat ha'Al

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Possession: 50% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Jan 26, 2026 Ligat ha'Al

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Jan 14, 2026 State Cup

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Possession: 49% - 46% Cards: 0 - 3

1:2

Oct 19, 2025 Ligat ha'Al

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

Possession: 58% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Turiel S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Maccabi Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Varela H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Tel Aviv 47 / 100

Maccabi Tel Aviv 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hapoel Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Tel Aviv scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Maccabi Tel Aviv conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Hapoel Tel Aviv has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Tel Aviv VS Maccabi Tel Aviv

1.13 Goals Scored 2

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva-

TBD-

Hapoel Tirat Karmel0

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad1

Nes Tziona1

Hapoel Karmiel2

Maccabi Bnei Raina-

TBD-

Hapoel Kfar Shalem-

H. Beer Sheva-

TBD-

Hapoel Hadera-

TBD-

Hapoel Sderot FC2

Hapoel Ironi Arraba1

Hapoel Jerusalem-

TBD-

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm7

FC Beer Sheva0

TBD-

Kiryat Yam-

Beitar Haifa0

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod5

TBD-

Hapoel Ramat Gan-

TBD-

Shmona-

Ironi Tiberias-

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Yehuda-

TBD-

Hapoel Afula-

TBD-

Tzeirey Um El Fahem0

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik3

M. Herzliya-

TBD-

Hapoel Akko-

Kfar Saba 19282

Maccabi Yavne0

TBD-

H. Ironi Rishon-

Maccabi HaSharon Netanya1

Bnei Jaffa4

Jerusalem FC6

Ihud Bnei Majd al-Krum0

TBD-

Netanya-

Sakhnin-

TBD-

Maccabi Jaffa-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

TBD-

SC Ashdod-

Maccabi Tel Aviv-

TBD-

Hapoel Haifa-

Jadeidi-Makr5

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek1

TBD-

H. Raanana-

Kiryat Haim1

Hapoel Yarka2

Kfar Kama0

Kiryat Gat1

Ironi Modiin-

TBD-

M. Nazareth2

Beitar Ramat Gan1

TBD-

Maccabi Haifa-

Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil0

Shimshon Tel Aviv2

TBD-

MS Kafr Qasim-

Shikun Hamizrah0

Holon Yermiyahu5

TBD-

Nof Hagalil-

Ironi Or Yehuda1

FC Dimona3

TBD-

Maccabi Petah Tikva-

TBD-

Hapoel Kfar Saba-

1/32-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva-

TBD-

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad1

Hapoel Karmiel4

Maccabi Bnei Raina-

TBD-

Hapoel Kfar Shalem-

H. Beer Sheva-

TBD-

Hapoel Hadera3

Hapoel Sderot FC4

Hapoel Jerusalem-

TBD-

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm2

Kiryat Yam1

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod2

Hapoel Ramat Gan3

TBD-

Shmona-

Ironi Tiberias-

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Yehuda-

TBD-

Hapoel Afula2

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik3

M. Herzliya2

Hapoel Akko0

Kfar Saba 19281

H. Ironi Rishon0

Bnei Jaffa1

Jerusalem FC0

TBD-

Netanya-

Sakhnin-

TBD-

Maccabi Jaffa-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

TBD-

SC Ashdod-

Maccabi Tel Aviv-

TBD-

Hapoel Haifa-

Jadeidi-Makr0

H. Raanana1

Hapoel Yarka0

Kiryat Gat4

Ironi Modiin1

M. Nazareth3

TBD-

Maccabi Haifa-

Shimshon Tel Aviv0

MS Kafr Qasim2

Holon Yermiyahu1

Nof Hagalil0

FC Dimona1

Maccabi Petah Tikva0

TBD-

Hapoel Kfar Saba-

1/16-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva2

Hapoel Karmiel1

Maccabi Bnei Raina1

Hapoel Kfar Shalem0

H. Beer Sheva2

Hapoel Sderot FC1

Hapoel Jerusalem2

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm0

Hapoel Ramat Gan2

Shmona3

Ironi Tiberias1

Beitar Jerusalem2

Yehuda2

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik1

M. Herzliya4

Kfar Saba 19281

Bnei Jaffa0

Netanya6

Sakhnin0

Maccabi Jaffa2

Hapoel Tel Aviv3

SC Ashdod0

Maccabi Tel Aviv5

Hapoel Haifa0

H. Raanana4

Kiryat Gat3

M. Nazareth1

Maccabi Haifa8

MS Kafr Qasim3

Holon Yermiyahu1

FC Dimona1

Hapoel Kfar Saba3

1/8-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva1

Maccabi Bnei Raina2

H. Beer Sheva2

Hapoel Jerusalem1

Shmona0

Beitar Jerusalem2

Yehuda1

M. Herzliya0

Netanya0

Maccabi Jaffa2

Hapoel Tel Aviv1

Maccabi Tel Aviv2

H. Raanana0

Maccabi Haifa1

MS Kafr Qasim1

Hapoel Kfar Saba0

Quarter-finals

Maccabi Bnei Raina0

H. Beer Sheva3

Beitar Jerusalem1

Yehuda2

Maccabi Jaffa0

Maccabi Tel Aviv5

Maccabi Haifa2

MS Kafr Qasim0

Semi-finals

H. Beer Sheva3

Yehuda2

Maccabi Tel Aviv3

Maccabi Haifa2

Final

H. Beer Sheva1

Maccabi Tel Aviv2