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Hapoel Tirat Karmel vs Beit Shean - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Tirat Karmel host Beit Shean in the Liga Alef North. Beit Shean go into this one as the clear favorite. Beit Shean have shipped 0.89 goals a game lately, while Hapoel Tirat Karmel have conceded 1.75 and scored 0.7. Past meetings favor Hapoel Tirat Karmel slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 19, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.44 - 0.44) back Beit Shean to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
20%
Draws
57%
Beit Shean
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Beit Shean

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Beit Shean lately — more wins on the board than Hapoel Tirat Karmel.
  • Win probability leans Hapoel Tirat Karmel's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Hapoel Tirat Karmel Clean Sheet 20%
Beit Shean Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Tirat Karmel Beit Shean
Matches Played 20 18
Wins 2 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 0.7 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Tirat Karmel vs Beit Shean
0:1
Oct 17, 2025 Liga Alef North
Beit Shean vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Tirat Karmel 36 / 100
Beit Shean 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Tirat Karmel Beit Shean

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beit Shean has conceded goals in 61% of their last 18 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Hapoel Tirat Karmel scored in 50% of their last 20 games.

Hapoel Tirat Karmel has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Tirat Karmel VS Beit Shean
0.63 Goals Scored 0.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
25% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Tirat Karmel

(Home)
08 Oct
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
01 Oct
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
23 Sept
Ironi Baka
3 : 1
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
18 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 4
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
09 Sept
Nof Hagalil
1 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Page 1 of 4

Beit Shean

(Away)
30 Sept
Beit Shean
2 : 1
Ironi Baka
23 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 0
Beit Shean
26 Feb
Beit Shean
0 : 0
MS Tira
19 Feb
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0 : 1
Beit Shean
12 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 3
Beit Shean
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
15 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
16 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 6 0 2 4 2:14 2
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)