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Hapoel Tirat Karmel vs Beitar Nahariya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Tirat Karmel host Beitar Nahariya in the Liga Alef North. Beitar Nahariya go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Hapoel Tirat Karmel at 0.7 goals for, 1.75 against; Beitar Nahariya at 1.44 for, 2 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.03 xG vs 0.78) point toward Beitar Nahariya. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
20%
Draws
57%
Beitar Nahariya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Beitar Nahariya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Beitar Nahariya lately — more wins on the board than Hapoel Tirat Karmel.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hapoel Tirat Karmel Clean Sheet 20%
Beitar Nahariya Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Tirat Karmel Beitar Nahariya
Matches Played 20 9
Wins 2 5
Draws 4 1
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 0.7 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.03 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Tirat Karmel 32 / 100
Beitar Nahariya 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Tirat Karmel Beitar Nahariya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beitar Nahariya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Tirat Karmel's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Beitar Nahariya has conceded goals in 56% of their last 9 outings.

Hapoel Tirat Karmel went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Beitar Nahariya's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Tirat Karmel VS Beitar Nahariya
0 Goals Scored 1.43
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.86
0% Over 1.5 71%
0% Over 2.5 43%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Tirat Karmel

(Home)
08 Oct
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
01 Oct
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
23 Sept
Ironi Baka
3 : 1
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
18 Sept
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 4
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
09 Sept
Nof Hagalil
1 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Page 1 of 4

Beitar Nahariya

(Away)
09 Oct
Beitar Nahariya
1 : 1
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
30 Sept
Ironi Nesher
4 : 1
Beitar Nahariya
23 Sept
Beitar Nahariya
3 : 0
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
18 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 2
Beitar Nahariya
10 Sept
Beitar Nahariya
2 : 0
H. Ihud Bnei Jatt
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Beitar Nahariya 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Hapoel Karmiel 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ironi Nesher 5 3 1 1 14:5 10
5 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 6 3 1 2 15:9 10
6 Nof Hagalil 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
7 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
9 FC Tzeirey Tamra 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
10 Ironi Baka 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
12 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
13 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
14 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
15 Beit Shean 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
16 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
17 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 6 0 2 4 2:14 2
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)