Sport Picks

Israel

Liga Alef North

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Tirat Karmel host Hapoel Umm al-Fahm in the Liga Alef North. This one's hard to separate. Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have shipped 0.25 goals a game lately, while Hapoel Tirat Karmel have conceded 0.13 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Hapoel Umm al-Fahm slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Hapoel Umm al-Fahm to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Hapoel Tirat Karmel

20%

Draws

38%

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Tirat Karmel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have won more games recently than Hapoel Tirat Karmel.
Win probability leans Hapoel Tirat Karmel's way, sitting at 42%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Hapoel Tirat Karmel Clean Sheet 20%

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Matches Played	21	21
Wins	3	7
Draws	3	5
Losses	15	9
Goals Scored	0	0
Goals Conceded	0.13	0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.13	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Liga Alef North

Hapoel Tirat Karmel vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

0:0

Nov 5, 2025 Liga Alef North

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel

2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Tirat Karmel 42 / 100

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hapoel Tirat Karmel Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has conceded goals in 76% of their last 21 outings.

Attacking prowess: Hapoel Tirat Karmel scored in 48% of their last 21 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Hapoel Tirat Karmel stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Tirat Karmel VS Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

0 Goals Scored 0

0.13 Goals Conceded 0.25

0% Over 1.5 13%

0% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History