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Hapoel Tirat Karmel vs Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Tirat Karmel host Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik in the Liga Alef North. Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik go into this one as the clear favorite. Hapoel Tirat Karmel have averaged 0.65 scored and 1.95 conceded recently, against Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik's 1.65 scored and 1.35 conceded. Head-to-head, Hapoel Tirat Karmel have won 0 to Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
15%
Draws
64%
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik have won more games recently than Hapoel Tirat Karmel.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik taking it.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hapoel Tirat Karmel Clean Sheet 20%
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Tirat Karmel Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
Matches Played 20 20
Wins 2 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.65 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.95 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Liga Alef North
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0:0
Nov 27, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Tirat Karmel vs Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Tirat Karmel 28 / 100
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Tirat Karmel Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik let in goals in 75% of their last 20 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Hapoel Tirat Karmel scored in 45% of their last 20 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Tirat Karmel VS Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Tirat Karmel

(Home)
22 Oct
MS Tira
2 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
19 Oct
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0 : 4
Beitar Nahariya
12 Oct
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0 : 4
Beit Shean
08 Oct
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
01 Oct
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
0 : 0
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
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Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik

(Away)
23 Oct
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
1 : 3
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
16 Oct
Ironi Nesher
4 : 0
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
09 Oct
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
1 : 2
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
30 Sept
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1 : 0
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
24 Sept
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
5 : 3
H. Ihud Bnei Jatt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MS Tira 8 6 2 0 15:5 20
2 Ironi Nesher 7 5 1 1 20:6 16
3 Beitar Nahariya 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
4 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 8 4 3 1 15:11 15
5 Hapoel Karmiel 8 3 5 0 13:7 14
6 Nof Hagalil 7 4 2 1 15:10 14
7 Beit Shean 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
8 Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 8 3 1 4 16:16 10
9 Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 7 2 3 2 9:10 9
10 H. Ihud Bnei Jatt 8 2 3 3 12:14 9
11 Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 7 2 2 3 11:11 8
12 Ironi Baka 8 2 2 4 12:13 8
13 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
14 FC Tzeirey Tamra 7 2 0 5 8:18 6
15 Hapoel Bnei Musmus 7 1 2 4 6:12 5
16 Hapoel Ironi Arraba 8 1 2 5 5:20 5
17 Hapoel Tirat Karmel 7 1 0 6 5:16 3
18 Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Leumit League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)